Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2026 4.00pm
Arena L'viv

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon Kyiv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 4.00pm
Shakhtar 0 - 0 Luhansk
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Kauã Elias

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Oct 23, 2026 11.00am
Polissya 3 - 0 Obolon
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Andriy Matkevych

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 86.06%. A draw has a probability of 10.14% and a win for Obolon Kyiv has a probability of 3.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win is 2-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (14.38%) and 1-0 (11.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.82%) , while for a Obolon Kyiv win it is 0-1 (1.88%).

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 86.06% ▼ (-0.46)
Draw 10.14% ▲ (+0.38)
Obolon Kyiv 3.78% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

33.9% ▲ (+0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.85% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 17.15% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 62.4% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 2.5 37.6% ▲ (+0.82)
Over 3.5 40.36% ▼ (-1.15)
Under 3.5 59.64% ▲ (+1.15)
Over 4.5 32.52% ▼ (-1.08)
Under 4.5 67.48% ▲ (+1.08)

First Half Winner

Shakhtar Donetsk 67.29% ▼ (-1.50)
Draw 25.67% ▲ (+1.36)
Obolon Kyiv 7.04% ▲ (+0.16)

Team To Score First

Shakhtar Donetsk 83.76% ▲ (+0.80)
No Goal 3.8% ▲ (+0.17)
Obolon Kyiv 12.44% ▼ (-0.97)

Corners

Over 8 51.59% ▲ (+7.00)
Equal 8 11.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 36.79% ▼ (-6.97)
Over 9 40.32% ▲ (+6.40)
Equal 9 11.27% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 9 48.41% ▼ (-7.00)
Over 10.5 30.25% ▲ (+5.41)
Under 10.5 69.75% ▼ (-5.41)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 1.5 76.31% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 1.5 23.69% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 2.5 52.94% ▼ (-1.02)
Under 2.5 47.06% ▲ (+1.02)
Over 3.5 30.45% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 3.5 69.55% ▲ (+0.65)

Obolon Kyiv Goals

Over 0.5 24.91% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 0.5 75.09% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 1.5 5.15% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 1.5 94.85% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 2.5 0.48% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 99.52% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 3.5 0.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 99.92% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 86.06%
Draw 10.14%
Obolon Kyiv 3.78%
Shakhtar Donetsk
2-0 @ 15% ▲ (+0.28)
3-0 @ 14.38% ▼ (-0.12)
1-0 @ 11.45% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 30.44% ▼ (-0.65)
Total : 86.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.31)
0-0 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 10.14%
Obolon Kyiv
0-1 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 3.78%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 28
May 13, 2026 4.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena L'viv
  • Luca Meirelles 9' goal
  • Alaa Ghram 14' goal
  • Isaque 69' yellowcard
  • Kauã Elias 69' yellowcard
  • Maryan Shved 80' yellowcard
  • Viktor Tsukanov 80' yellowcard
  • Valeriy Bondar 83' yellowcard
  • Maryan Shved 89' goal
  • goal Maksym Chekh 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Denys Teslyuk 62'
  • yellowcard Denys Teslyuk 63'
  • yellowcard Kostyantyn Bychek 80'
  • yellowcard Rostyslav Liashchuk 80'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Chernenko 90'
Ukrainian Premier League
Nov 22, 2025 2.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 0
FT
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 22
Mar 29, 2025 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Obolon' Arena
  • Vadym Vitenchuk 37' yellowcard
  • Vladyslav Pryymak 43' yellowcard
  • goal Eguinaldo de Sousa Lemos 22'
  • goal Anton Hlushchenko 89'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 23, 2024 4.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena L'viv
  • Artem Bondarenko 17' goal
  • Lassina Traore 67' goal
  • Vinicius Augusto Tobias da Silva 76' yellowcard
  • Heorhiy Sudakov 79' goal
  • Newerton 90' goal
  • yellowcard Rostyslav Taranukha 20'
  • yellowcard Igor Medynskyi 33'
  • yellowcard Sergiy Sukhanov 72'
  • yellowcard Danylo Karas 87'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 22
Mar 30, 2024 11.00am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Obolon' Arena
  • Maksym Grysjo 38' yellowcard
  • Valerii Dubko 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Sergiy Sukhanov 45'+8' redcard
  • goal Danylo Sikan 16'
  • yellowcard Heorhiy Sudakov 29'
  • yellowcard Dmytro Kryskiv 33'
  • yellowcard Danylo Sikan 44'
  • goal Maryan Shved 45'+1'
  • goal Maryan Shved 90'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • Taras Stepanenko 63' yellowcard
  • Stav Lamkin 68' yellowcard
  • Egor Nazaryna 77' goal
  • yellowcard Artem Vovkun 25'
  • yellowcard Rostyslav Taranukha 32'
  • redcard Artem Vovkun 33'
  • yellowcard Vladyslav Pryymak 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Olexandr Rybka 90'+4'