Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 46.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sampdoria in this match.