Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 46.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sampdoria in this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Salernitana
46.96% ( 0.31)	28.17% ( -0.14)	24.87% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 42.93% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.81% (

0.32)

62.19% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.12% (

0.24)

81.88% (

-0.24)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

0.31)

26.63% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.14% (

0.41)

61.86% (

-0.41)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.52% (

0.02)

41.48% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.02% (

0.02)

77.98% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 46.96%

Salernitana 24.87%

Draw 28.16%

Sampdoria	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 14.61% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 46.96%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.2% Total : 24.87%