Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.