Serie B Gameweek 38
May 9, 2025 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Matteo Brunori 30' goal
  • Matteo Brunori 48' goal
  • Alexis Blin 81' yellowcard
  • Matteo Brunori 82' yellowcard

Palermo vs Frosinone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 2.00pm
Cesena 2 - 1 Palermo
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Joel Pohjanpalo

Frosinone

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 2.00pm
Frosinone 1 - 1 Cittadella
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Giuseppe Ambrosino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.

Result

Palermo 42.44% (-0.60)
Draw 25.63% (-0.09)
Frosinone 31.93% (+0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.51% (+0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.6% (+0.60)
Under 2.5 49.39% (-0.61)
Over 3.5 28.56% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 71.43% (-0.55)
Over 4.5 13.69% (+0.36)
Under 4.5 86.31% (-0.37)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5 76.86% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 23.14% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 42.99% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 57.01% (+0.04)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5 70.92% (+0.75)
Under 0.5 29.08% (-0.76)
Over 1.5 35% (+0.92)
Under 1.5 65% (-0.93)

Score analysis

Palermo 42.44%
Draw 25.63%
Frosinone 31.93%
Palermo
1-0 @ 9.85% (-0.26)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.20)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.68% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 42.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.5% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.63%
Frosinone
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.51% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 5.13% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.09% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.26% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.11% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 31.93%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 13
Nov 8, 2024 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Benito Stirpe
  • Gabriele Bracaglia 16' goal
  • Ebrima Darboe 28' yellowcard
  • Davide Biraschi 73' yellowcard
  • Luca Garritano 89' yellowcard
  • goal Roberto Insigne 2'
  • yellowcard Valerio Verre 45'
Serie B Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2023 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Valerio Verre 37' goal
  • goal Daniel Boloca 75'
Serie B Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2022 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Benito Stirpe
  • Alessio Buttaro 44' goal
Serie A Playoffs
Jun 16, 2018 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luka Krajnc 3' yellowcard
  • Danilo Soddimo 7' yellowcard
  • Federico Dionisi 21' yellowcard
  • Matteo Ciofani 50' yellowcard
  • Raffaele Maiello 52' goal
  • Camillo Ciano 90' goal
  • yellowcard Mato Jajalo 17'
  • yellowcard Haitam Aleesami 29'
  • yellowcard Ilija Nestorovski 39'
  • redcard Pawel Dawidowicz 64'
  • yellowcard Przemyslaw Szyminski 70'
  • yellowcard Aljaz Struna 79'
Serie A Playoffs
Jun 13, 2018 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Antonino La Gumina 45' goal
  • Radoslaw Murawski 79' yellowcard
  • Emanuele Terranova 81' goal
  • goal Camillo Ciano 5'
Serie B
Mar 10, 2018 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)
  • Giuseppe Bellusci 34' yellowcard
  • Eddy Gnahore 47' goal
  • Ilija Nestorovski 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raman Chibsah 28'
  • yellowcard Emanuele Terranova 37'
  • yellowcard Matteo Ciofani 53'