Serie B | Gameweek 38

May 9, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Palermo
2 - 0
Frosinone

Brunori (30', 48')
Blin (81'), Brunori (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Frosinone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions

Last Game: Cesena 2-1 Palermo
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 1-1 Cittadella
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Frosinone
42.44% ( -0.59)	25.63% ( -0.09)	31.93% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 54.51% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.6% (

0.6)

49.39% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.56% (

0.54)

71.43% (

-0.54)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.86% (

-0.03)

23.14% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.99% (

-0.04)

57.01% (

0.04)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92% (

0.75)

29.08% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35% (

0.92)

65% (

-0.92)

Score Analysis

Palermo 42.44%

Frosinone 31.93%

Draw 25.63%

Palermo	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.44%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.93%