Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.