Serie B Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2026 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
  • Nicholas Rizzo 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Patrick Enrici 49' goal
  • Giovanni Corradini 60' yellowcard
  • Andrea Silipo 72' goal
  • Andrea Silipo 86' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Di Maggio 11'
  • goal Raffaele Russo 17'
  • yellowcard Michele Besaggio 79'

Ascoli vs Avellino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.00pm
Calcio Padova 1 - 0 Ascoli
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Andrea Silipo

Avellino

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 4.15pm
Avellino 1 - 1 Palermo
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Raffaele Russo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Avellino had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.33%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%) , while for a Avellino win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Ascoli 53.22% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 25% ▲ (+0.04)
Avellino 21.81% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.7% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.13% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 24.87% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 51.64% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 48.36% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 28.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 16.8% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 83.2% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Ascoli 37.43% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 47.02% ▲ (+0.20)
Avellino 15.55% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Ascoli 60.26% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 7.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Avellino 32.61% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 64.62% ▲ (+0.16)
Equal 8 10.19%
Under 8 25.19% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 9 53.7% ▲ (+0.16)
Equal 9 10.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 35.38% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 42.9% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 10.5 57.1% ▼ (-0.13)

Ascoli Goals

Over 1.5 49.74% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 50.26% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 23.78% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 76.22% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 9.46% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 90.54% ▲ (+0.10)

Avellino Goals

Over 0.5 57.8% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 42.2% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 24.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 75.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.85% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Ascoli 53.2%
Draw 25%
Avellino 21.81%
Ascoli
1-0 @ 11.56% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 10.33% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 53.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25%
Avellino
0-1 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.81%

Head to Head

Serie B
May 5, 2018 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)
  • Emanuele Padella 27' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Pinto 44' goal
  • Guillaume Gigliotti 62' yellowcard
  • goal Luigi Castaldo 32'
  • yellowcard Luigi Castaldo 43'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Laverone 63'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Yves Ngawa 90'
Serie B
Dec 16, 2017 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)
  • Angelo D'Angelo 23' yellowcard
  • Nicola Falasco 44' yellowcard
  • Luigi Castaldo 59' goal
  • Raul Asencio 60' yellowcard
  • Anton Kresic 80' yellowcard
  • Francesco Di Tacchio 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan De Santis 0'
  • yellowcard Bright Addae 22'
  • goal Leonardo Perez 45'