Serie B Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2026 6.30pm
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli vs Avellino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 2.00pm
Calcio Padova 1 - 0 Ascoli
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Andrea Silipo

Avellino

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 4.15pm
Avellino 1 - 1 Palermo
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Raffaele Russo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ascoli win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw has a probability of 24.96% and a win for Avellino has a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ascoli win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.36%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.43%) , while for a Avellino win it is 0-1 (6.16%).

Result

Ascoli 53.32% (-0.41)
Draw 24.96% (-0.02)
Avellino 21.72% (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.67% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.2% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 24.8% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 51.78% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 48.22% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 28.9% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 71.1% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 16.85% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 83.15% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Ascoli 37.58% (+0.83)
Draw 46.83% (-0.45)
Avellino 15.59% (-0.38)

Team To Score First

Ascoli 60.27% (-0.79)
No Goal 7.11% (-0.13)
Avellino 32.62% (+0.92)

Corners

Over 8 64.47% (-4.10)
Equal 8 10.19% (-0.20)
Under 8 25.34% (+4.29)
Over 9 53.55% (-3.42)
Equal 9 10.92% (-0.69)
Under 9 35.53% (+4.09)
Over 10.5 42.77% (-2.39)
Under 10.5 57.23% (+2.39)

Ascoli Goals

Over 1.5 49.89% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 50.11% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 23.92% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 76.08% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 9.55% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 90.45% (-0.10)

Avellino Goals

Over 0.5 57.72% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 42.28% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 24.58% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 75.42% (-0.50)
Over 2.5 8.21% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 91.79% (-0.51)
Over 3.5 2.14% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 97.86% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Ascoli 53.31%
Draw 24.96%
Avellino 21.73%
Ascoli
1-0 @ 11.53% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 10.36% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.22)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.19)
Other @ 9.27% (-0.02)
Total : 53.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.28% (+0.13)
Total : 24.96%
Avellino
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 5.74% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 3.06% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.87% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.69% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.35% (+0.13)
Other @ 1.86% (+0.09)
Total : 21.73%

Head to Head

Serie B
May 5, 2018 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)
  • Emanuele Padella 27' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Pinto 44' goal
  • Guillaume Gigliotti 62' yellowcard
  • goal Luigi Castaldo 32'
  • yellowcard Luigi Castaldo 43'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Laverone 63'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Yves Ngawa 90'
Serie B
Dec 16, 2017 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)
  • Angelo D'Angelo 23' yellowcard
  • Nicola Falasco 44' yellowcard
  • Luigi Castaldo 59' goal
  • Raul Asencio 60' yellowcard
  • Anton Kresic 80' yellowcard
  • Francesco Di Tacchio 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan De Santis 0'
  • yellowcard Bright Addae 22'
  • goal Leonardo Perez 45'