Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Oct 4, 2020 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Milinkovic-Savic (55')
Fares (37'), S (43'), Lazzari (79'), Patric (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martinez (30')
Lukaku (42'), Vidal (70'), Young (78'), Barella (90+3')
Sensi (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A encounter between Lazio and Inter Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Inter Milan
25.73%	22.16%	52.11%

Both teams to score 62.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.56%

37.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.33%

59.67%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71%

27.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27%

62.73%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.45%

14.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.41%

42.59%

Score Analysis

Lazio 25.73%

Inter Milan 52.11%

Draw 22.16%

Lazio	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 6.45% 1-0 @ 5.16% 2-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 1.45% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.93% Total : 25.73%	1-1 @ 9.94% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.16%	1-2 @ 9.58% 0-1 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 6.16% 0-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 4% 1-4 @ 2.97% 0-4 @ 2.28% 2-4 @ 1.93% 1-5 @ 1.14% Other @ 4.29% Total : 52.11%