Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 25, 2026 11.30am
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 5.00pm
Bologna 1 - 3 Inter Milan
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Lautaro Martínez 

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 2.00pm
Fiorentina 1 - 3 Como
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Franco Mastantuono

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Milan win with a probability of 66.2%. A draw has a probability of 19.24% and a win for Fiorentina has a probability of 14.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.57%) , while for a Fiorentina win it is 1-2 (4.59%).

Result

Inter Milan 66.2% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 19.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Fiorentina 14.55% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.78% ▲ (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.74% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 16.26% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 2.5 64.06% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 35.94% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 40.83% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 59.17% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 26.84% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 73.16% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Inter Milan 49.6%
Draw 37.52%
Fiorentina 12.88%

Team To Score First

Inter Milan 71.31% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 3.9% ▼ (-0.07)
Fiorentina 24.79% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.85%
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 28.21%
Over 9 49.46%
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 39.15%
Over 10.5 38.57%
Under 10.5 61.43%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 1.5 65.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 34.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 39.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 60.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 18.94% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 81.06% ▲ (+0.13)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 51.42% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 0.5 48.58% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 1.5 21.56% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 78.44% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 6.18% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 93.82% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 3.5 1.64% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 98.36% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 66.21%
Draw 19.25%
Fiorentina 14.55%
Inter Milan
2-1 @ 10.29% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.67%
3-1 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 18.76% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 66.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.25%
Fiorentina
1-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 14.55%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 30
Mar 22, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Jack Harrison 69' yellowcard
  • Cher Ndour 77' goal
  • Roberto Piccoli 86' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Fabbian 90' yellowcard
  • Pietro Comuzzo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Fabbian 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Pio Esposito 1'
  • yellowcard Francesco Acerbi 46'
  • yellowcard Ange-Yoan Bonny 68'
  • yellowcard Ange-Yoan Bonny 69'
  • yellowcard Davide Frattesi 69'
  • yellowcard Petar Sučić 83'
  • yellowcard Luis Henrique 86'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marin Pongracic 28' goal
  • Simone Inzaghi 31' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 36' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Marko Arnautovic 52' goal
  • Nicola Zalewski 70' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raffaele Palladino 31'
  • yellowcard Amir Richardson 39'
  • goal Rolando Mandragora 44'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Moise Kean 66'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Feb 6, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Luca Ranieri 59' goal
  • Moise Kean 68' goal
  • Moise Kean 68' yellowcard
  • Moise Kean 89' goal
  • goal 15'
  • goal Carlos Augusto 30'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Jonathan Ikone 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Rolando Mandragora 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 14'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 42'
  • yellowcard Yann Sommer 75'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 82'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marcus Thuram 23' goal
  • Nicolo Barella 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 53' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 58' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 73' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 39'
  • yellowcard Vincenzo Italiano 60'+60'