Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 2.00pm
Frosinone 3 - 2 Venezia
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
John Yeboah

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 2.00pm
Fiorentina 1 - 2 Torino
Goals scored
1

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Venezia win with a probability of 55.29%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 23.21% and a draw has a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 1-2 (5.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.94%).

Result

Venezia 55.29% (-0.25)
Draw 21.5% (+0.02)
Fiorentina 23.21% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.96% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.62% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 15.38% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 65.88% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 34.12% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 43.85% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 56.15% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 28.75% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 71.25% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Venezia 43.34% (-0.03)
Draw 39.22% (+0.09)
Fiorentina 17.45% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Venezia 64.52% (+0.23)
No Goal 4.13%
Fiorentina 31.35% (-0.23)

Corners

Over 8 55.51% (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.49% (+0.01)
Under 8 33% (-0.15)
Over 9 44.02% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.5% (+0.03)
Under 9 44.49% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 33.44% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 66.56% (-0.07)

Venezia Goals

Over 1.5 59.11% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 40.89% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 33.99% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 66.01% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 16.01% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 83.99% (+0.08)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 60.4% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 39.6% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 31.46% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 68.54% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 13.44% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 86.56% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.99% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.01% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Venezia 55.29%
Draw 21.5%
Fiorentina 23.2%
Venezia
2-1 @ 9.4% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.16% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 5.7%
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.05)
Other @ 15.45% (-0.09)
Total : 55.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.94% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.13%
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.5%
Fiorentina
1-2 @ 5.45% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 4.08% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.64% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.57% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.48% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.43% (+0.05)
Total : 23.2%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 36
May 12, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
  • Fali Cande 60' goal
  • Gaetano Oristanio 68' goal
  • Gianluca Busio 83' yellowcard
  • goal Rolando Mandragora 77'
  • yellowcard Michael Folorunsho 84'
  • yellowcard Dodo 88'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beltran 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2024 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Rolando Mandragora 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaetano Oristanio 22'
  • yellowcard Francesco Zampano 62'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 16, 2022 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lucas Torreira 30' goal
  • Riccardo Sottil 79' yellowcard
  • Alfred Duncan 83' yellowcard
  • Lucas Torreira 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Venuti 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ridgeciano Haps 29'
  • yellowcard David Okereke 36'
  • yellowcard Sofian Kiyine 57'
  • yellowcard Dor Peretz 90'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 18, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mattia Aramu 36' goal
  • Pietro Ceccaroni 63' yellowcard
  • Ethan Ampadu 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sofyan Amrabat 24'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Odriozola 28'
  • yellowcard Marco Benassi 61'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Sottil 69'
  • redcard Riccardo Sottil 77'