Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.52%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Venezia win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Juventus |
| 15.5% ( | 22.78% ( | 61.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.51% ( | 53.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.99% ( | 75.01% ( |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.11% ( | 46.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.6% ( | 82.4% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.09% ( | 16.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.04% ( | 46.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 6% ( 2-1 @ 4.04% ( 2-0 @ 2.27% ( 3-1 @ 1.02% ( 3-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.26% Total : 15.5% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 2-2 @ 3.59% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 14.08% ( 0-2 @ 12.52% ( 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0-3 @ 7.42% ( 1-3 @ 5.62% ( 0-4 @ 3.3% ( 1-4 @ 2.5% ( 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0-5 @ 1.17% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 61.71% |