Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2026 11.30am
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Venezia 2 - 4 Fiorentina
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Franco Mastantuono

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 5.00pm
Napoli 1 - 0 Bologna
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Rasmus Højlund

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 35.11% and a draw has a probability of 27.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 1-0 (10.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.84%).

Result

Fiorentina 35.11% (+2.90)
Draw 27.71% (-0.18)
Napoli 37.18% (-2.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.39% (+1.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.91% (+1.18)
Under 1.5 30.09% (-1.18)
Over 2.5 44.32% (+1.15)
Under 2.5 55.68% (-1.15)
Over 3.5 23.17% (+1.00)
Under 3.5 76.83% (-1.00)
Over 4.5 12.12% (+0.45)
Under 4.5 87.88% (-0.46)

First Half Winner

Fiorentina 30.41% (+1.58)
Draw 46.16% (+0.64)
Napoli 23.43% (-2.20)

Team To Score First

Fiorentina 50.83% (+3.24)
No Goal 9.17% (-0.65)
Napoli 40% (-2.61)

Corners

Over 8 46.1% (-0.44)
Equal 8 12.17% (+0.17)
Under 8 41.73% (+0.27)
Over 9 34.78% (-0.55)
Equal 9 11.32% (+0.13)
Under 9 53.9% (+0.44)
Over 10.5 25.1% (-0.60)
Under 10.5 74.9% (+0.61)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 1.5 32.29% (+2.60)
Under 1.5 67.71% (-2.61)
Over 2.5 12.03% (+1.53)
Under 2.5 87.97% (-1.54)
Over 3.5 3.43% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 96.57% (-0.55)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 68.8% (-1.25)
Under 0.5 31.2% (+1.25)
Over 1.5 34.41% (-1.37)
Under 1.5 65.59% (+1.36)
Over 2.5 12.78% (-0.70)
Under 2.5 87.22% (+0.69)
Over 3.5 3.89% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 96.11% (+0.32)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 35.1%
Draw 27.71%
Napoli 37.19%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 10.32% (+0.43)
2-1 @ 7.88% (+0.51)
2-0 @ 5.84% (+0.40)
3-1 @ 3.07% (+0.36)
3-0 @ 2.49% (+0.42)
3-2 @ 2.12% (+0.18)
Other @ 3.38% (+0.61)
Total : 35.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 9.17% (-0.65)
2-2 @ 4.73% (+0.22)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.06)
Total : 27.71%
Napoli
0-1 @ 10.6% (-1.01)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.43)
0-2 @ 6.9% (-0.63)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.36)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.84% (-0.26)
Total : 37.19%

Head to Head

Serie A
Jan 31, 2026 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Antonio Vergara 11' goal
  • Mathías Olivera 30' yellowcard
  • Miguel Gutiérrez 49' goal
  • Giovane 84' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 46'
  • goal Manor Solomon 57'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 70'
  • yellowcard Moise Kean 70'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 70'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Fazzini 79'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 13, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Romelu Lukaku 26' goal
  • Alessandro Buongiorno 47' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Raspadori 60' goal
  • yellowcard Albert Gudmundsson 64'
  • goal Albert Gudmundsson 66'
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 88'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2025 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • goal David Neres 29'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Di Lorenzo 39'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 54'
  • goal Scott McTominay 68'
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 17, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Cristiano Biraghi 40' goal
  • Mbala N'Zola 42' goal
  • Rolando Mandragora 84' yellowcard
  • goal Amir Rrahmani 8'
  • yellowcard Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 41'
  • goal Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 57'
  • yellowcard Jens Cajuste 70'
Supercoppa Italiana
Jan 18, 2024 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT KSU Soccer Stadium
  • Giovanni Simeone 22' goal
  • Alessio Zerbin 84' goal
  • Alessio Zerbin 86' goal
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 51'