Serie A Gameweek 12
Nov 22, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan vs Frosinone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 2.00pm
Genoa 1 - 2 AC Milan
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Alphadjo Cissè

Frosinone

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 2.00pm
Cagliari 1 - 0 Frosinone
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Antonio Raimondo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Frosinone has a probability of 26.68% and a draw has a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Frosinone win is 1-2 (7.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.35%).

Result

AC Milan 50.36%
Draw 22.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Frosinone 26.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.32% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 18.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 60.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 36.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 21.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 78.05% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

AC Milan 43.2%
Draw 34.07%
Frosinone 22.73%

Team To Score First

AC Milan 59.29% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 4.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Frosinone 36.09%

Corners

Over 8 62.16%
Equal 8 10.49%
Under 8 27.35%
Over 9 51.1%
Equal 9 11.06%
Under 9 37.84%
Over 10.5 40.36%
Under 10.5 59.64%

AC Milan Goals

Over 1.5 52.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 47.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 26.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 73.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 10.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.53% ▼ (-0.02)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5 64.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 66.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.06% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

AC Milan 50.35%
Draw 22.94%
Frosinone 26.68%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 10.16%
1-0 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.77%
3-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 10.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 50.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.94%
Frosinone
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-1 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.45%
1-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.68%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2024 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Benito Stirpe
  • Matias Soule 24' goal
  • Abdou Harroui 56' yellowcard
  • Luca Mazzitelli 65' goal
  • goal Olivier Giroud 17'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek 43'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 48'
  • goal Matteo Gabbia 72'
  • goal Luka Jovic 81'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Luka Jovic 43' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 50' goal
  • Fikayo Tomori 74' goal
  • Luka Jovic 80' yellowcard
  • Stefano Pioli 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Barrenechea 63'
  • goal Marco Brescianini 82'
Serie A Gameweek 37
May 19, 2019 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
  • 0' yellowcard
  • Krzysztof Piatek 57' goal
  • Suso 66' goal
Serie A Gameweek 18
Dec 26, 2018 11.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)
  • Paolo Ghiglione 41' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Crisetig 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 40'
Serie A
May 1, 2016 2.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Mario Balotelli 26' yellowcard
  • Juraj Kucka 45' yellowcard
  • Carlos Bacca 50' goal
  • Luca Antonelli 74' goal
  • Jeremy Menez 92' goal
  • goal Luca Paganini 2'
  • yellowcard Paolo Sammarco 10'
  • yellowcard Mirko Gori 19'
  • yellowcard Francesco Bardi 39'
  • goal Oliver Kragl 44'
  • yellowcard Oliver Kragl 45'
  • yellowcard Adriano Russo 48'
  • goal Federico Dionisi 54'
  • yellowcard Federico Dionisi 55'
  • yellowcard Vasyl Pryima 91'
Serie A
Dec 20, 2015 5.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daniel Ciofani 19' goal
  • Aleksandar Tonev 45' yellowcard
  • Danilo Soddimo 55' yellowcard
  • Federico Dionisi 61' yellowcard
  • Daniel Pavlovic 68' yellowcard
  • Federico Dionisi 84' goal
  • Daniel Ciofani 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard M'Baye Niang 49'
  • goal Ignazio Abate 51'
  • goal Carlos Bacca 55'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 60'
  • goal Alex 77'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 83'
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 93'