Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 5, 2026 5.45pm
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan vs Ferencvaros - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica

Ferencvaros

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Ferencvaros has a probability of 36.68% and a draw has a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win is 1-2 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.8%).

Result

AC Milan 38.62% ▼ (-1.00)
Draw 24.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Ferencvaros 36.68% ▲ (+0.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.83% ▲ (+1.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.5% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 19.5% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 59.01% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 40.99% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 3.5 36.46% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 63.54% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 22.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.97% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

AC Milan 25.18% ▼ (-1.77)
Draw 40.18% ▲ (+2.09)
Ferencvaros 34.64% ▼ (-0.33)

Team To Score First

AC Milan 42.92%
No Goal 5.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Ferencvaros 51.72% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 54.18% ▲ (+3.32)
Equal 8 10.94% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 8 34.88% ▼ (-3.43)
Over 9 43.33% ▲ (+2.97)
Equal 9 10.86% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 9 45.82% ▼ (-3.32)
Over 10.5 33.37% ▲ (+2.42)
Under 10.5 66.63% ▼ (-2.43)

AC Milan Goals

Over 1.5 42.64% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 1.5 57.36% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 2.5 19.73% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 2.5 80.27% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 3.5 6.84% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 93.16% ▲ (+0.35)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5 71.79% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 0.5 28.21% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 1.5 41.68% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 1.5 58.32% ▼ (-0.97)
Over 2.5 19.22% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 2.5 80.78% ▼ (-0.77)
Over 3.5 7.8% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 3.5 92.2% ▼ (-0.29)

Score analysis

AC Milan 38.63%
Draw 24.67%
Ferencvaros 36.69%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.27)
Total : 38.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.47% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 24.67%
Ferencvaros
1-2 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.30)
2-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.35)
Total : 36.69%