Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.