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Segunda Division | Gameweek 41
May 25, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes

Granada
2 - 1
Castellon

Tsitaishvili (26'), Sanchez (89')
Sanchez (74'), Lama Maroto (90+7'), Angel Brau Blanquez (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cipenga (69')
Lottin (33')
Chirino (61')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Granada and Castellon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions
Last Game: Deportivo 2-3 Granada
Saturday, May 17 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Castellon

All competitions
Last Game: Castellon 1-1 Eldense
Sunday, May 18 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 23.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawCastellon
52.55% (0.058 0.06)23.61% (0.010999999999999 0.01)23.84% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.02% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.1% (-0.11 -0.11)45.9% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79% (-0.106 -0.11)68.21% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)17.44% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.09% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)47.9% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)33.35% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.03% (-0.129 -0.13)69.97% (0.13000000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Granada 52.54%
    Castellon 23.84%
    Draw 23.6%
GranadaDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 10.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.87% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.16% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 52.54%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 23.84%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 11
Castellon
2-3
Granada
Suero (33', 35')
Sanchez (57'), Calatrava Torrado (68')
Jesus (26'), Angel Brau Blanquez (49'), Uzuni (90+3' pen.)
Villahermosa (42'), Angel Brau Blanquez (45+3'), Miquel (57'), Williams (90+1'), Rubio (90+1')
Miquel (90+6')