Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Coruna win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Coruna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.