Segunda Division Gameweek 6
Sep 20, 2026 3.15pm
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

Ceuta vs Real Valladolid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.30pm
Burgos 3 - 1 Ceuta
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Jordi Escobar

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 3.15pm
Valladolid 0 - 3 Real Oviedo
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Luis Chacón

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ceuta win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Real Valladolid has a probability of 33.7% and a draw has a probability of 26.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win is 0-1 (8.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.19%).

Result

Ceuta 40.04% (+0.02)
Draw 26.23% (-0.04)
Real Valladolid 33.7% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.27% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.83% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 25.17% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 50.76% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 49.24% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 28.66% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.34% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15.67% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.33% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 29.44% (-0.02)
Draw 44.59%
Real Valladolid 25.97% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Ceuta 51.63% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.2% (-0.01)
Real Valladolid 41.17%

Corners

Over 8 57.12% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.02% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.87% (+0.06)
Over 9 44.93% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.19% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.88% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 33.65% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 66.35% (+0.02)

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 39.91% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 60.09% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 16.65% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 83.35% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.63% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.37% (+0.02)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 68.22% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 31.78% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 34.55% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 65.45% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 12.93% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 87.07% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.05% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.95% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ceuta 40.04%
Draw 26.23%
Real Valladolid 33.69%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 9.32% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69%
2-0 @ 6.57%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-0 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.63%
Other @ 5.54%
Total : 40.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 26.23%
Real Valladolid
0-1 @ 8.61% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.96% (-0.02)
Total : 33.69%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 22
Jan 17, 2026 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Marcos Fernández 46' yellowcard
  • Cristian Rodríguez 60' yellowcard
  • Salvi 60' yellowcard
  • Carlos Redru 75' yellowcard
  • Albert Caparrós 75' yellowcard
  • goal David Torres 41'
  • goal Víctor Meseguer 52'
  • goal Chuki 54'
  • yellowcard Iván Garriel 67'
  • yellowcard Mario Maroto 73'
  • yellowcard Pablo Tomeo 73'
  • yellowcard Stipe Biuk 79'
  • yellowcard Mathis Lachuer 79'
Segunda Division
Aug 15, 2025 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT