Segunda Division Gameweek 6
Sep 20, 2026 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Carlos Hernández 31' yellowcard
  • Omar Sadik 85' yellowcard
  • Omar Sadik 90'+1' redcard
  • Carlos Hernández 90'+11' goal
  • yellowcard Juanmi Latasa 12'
  • goal Juanmi Latasa 53'
  • yellowcard Álex Balboa 79'
  • yellowcard Iván Garriel 86'
  • redcard Álex Balboa 87'
  • yellowcard Pablo Tomeo 90'+12'

Ceuta vs Real Valladolid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.30pm
Burgos 3 - 1 Ceuta
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Carlos Hernández

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 3.15pm
Valladolid 0 - 3 Real Oviedo
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Luis Chacón

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceuta win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Ceuta 40.98% ▲ (+0.94)
Draw 26.32% ▲ (+0.09)
Real Valladolid 32.67% ▼ (-1.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.98% ▼ (-1.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.92% ▼ (-0.91)
Under 1.5 26.08% ▲ (+0.91)
Over 2.5 49.42% ▼ (-1.34)
Under 2.5 50.58% ▲ (+1.34)
Over 3.5 27.44% ▼ (-1.22)
Under 3.5 72.56% ▲ (+1.22)
Over 4.5 14.83% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 4.5 85.17% ▲ (+0.85)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 29.44%
Draw 44.59%
Real Valladolid 25.97%

Team To Score First

Ceuta 51.5% ▼ (-0.14)
No Goal 7.44% ▲ (+0.25)
Real Valladolid 41.06% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 52.74% ▼ (-4.38)
Equal 8 11.36% ▼ (-0.67)
Under 8 35.91% ▲ (+5.04)
Over 9 41.61% ▼ (-3.32)
Equal 9 11.13% ▼ (-1.06)
Under 9 47.26% ▲ (+4.38)
Over 10.5 31.54% ▼ (-2.11)
Under 10.5 68.46% ▲ (+2.11)

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 39.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.56% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 83.44% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 5.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 94.44% ▲ (+0.07)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 66.99% ▼ (-1.24)
Under 0.5 33.01% ▲ (+1.23)
Over 1.5 33.01% ▼ (-1.54)
Under 1.5 66.99% ▲ (+1.54)
Over 2.5 11.99% ▼ (-0.94)
Under 2.5 88.01% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 3.5 3.62% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 3.5 96.38% ▲ (+0.43)

Score analysis

Ceuta 40.97%
Draw 26.32%
Real Valladolid 32.67%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.53)
2-1 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.36)
3-1 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 40.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.32%
Real Valladolid
0-1 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.15)
1-2 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.24)
0-2 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.44)
Total : 32.67%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 22
Jan 17, 2026 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Marcos Fernández 46' yellowcard
  • Cristian Rodríguez 60' yellowcard
  • Salvi 60' yellowcard
  • Carlos Redru 75' yellowcard
  • Albert Caparrós 75' yellowcard
  • goal David Torres 41'
  • goal Víctor Meseguer 52'
  • goal Chuki 54'
  • yellowcard Iván Garriel 67'
  • yellowcard Mario Maroto 73'
  • yellowcard Pablo Tomeo 73'
  • yellowcard Stipe Biuk 79'
  • yellowcard Mathis Lachuer 79'
Segunda Division
Aug 15, 2025 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT