Club Friendlies 3
Aug 8, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Municipal El Molinón

Sporting Gijon vs Real Valladolid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 10.30am
Racing 4 - 1 Sporting Gijon

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 6.00pm
Gimnastica 0 - 3 Valladolid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Real Valladolid has a probability of 27.76% and a draw has a probability of 27.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win is 0-1 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.5%).

Result

Sporting Gijon 45.13% (-6.87)
Draw 27.16% (+1.97)
Real Valladolid 27.76% (+4.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.59% (+3.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.54% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 25.46% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 50.28% (-1.02)
Under 2.5 49.72% (+1.08)
Over 3.5 27.52% (-0.70)
Under 3.5 72.48% (+0.69)
Over 4.5 15.21% (-0.92)
Under 4.5 84.79% (+0.92)

First Half Winner

Sporting Gijon 32.91% (-3.15)
Draw 43.73% (+0.27)
Real Valladolid 23.36% (+2.88)

Team To Score First

Sporting Gijon 53.51% (-3.95)
No Goal 7.88% (+0.02)
Real Valladolid 38.61% (+3.93)

Corners

Over 8 64.11% (+0.59)
Equal 8 11.13% (-0.25)
Under 8 24.76% (-0.35)
Over 9 52.14% (+0.82)
Equal 9 11.96% (-0.23)
Under 9 35.89% (-0.59)
Over 10.5 40.43% (+0.97)
Under 10.5 59.57% (-0.97)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 1.5 43.72% (-4.58)
Under 1.5 56.28% (+4.58)
Over 2.5 18.73% (-4.08)
Under 2.5 81.27% (+4.08)
Over 3.5 6.46% (-2.16)
Under 3.5 93.54% (+2.17)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 64.07% (+5.71)
Under 0.5 35.93% (-5.72)
Over 1.5 29.95% (+4.66)
Under 1.5 70.05% (-4.66)
Over 2.5 10.7% (+2.21)
Under 2.5 89.3% (-2.22)
Over 3.5 2.92% (+0.68)
Under 3.5 97.08% (-0.69)

Score analysis

Sporting Gijon 45.13%
Draw 27.16%
Real Valladolid 27.74%
Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 10.32% (-1.18)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.36)
2-0 @ 7.55% (-1.05)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.83)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-1.30)
3-2 @ 2.72% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.27% (-2.17)
Total : 45.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% (+1.24)
0-0 @ 7.88% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (+0.54)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 27.16%
Real Valladolid
0-1 @ 7.29% (+1.01)
1-2 @ 6.9% (+0.89)
0-2 @ 4.21% (+1.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% (+0.54)
2-3 @ 2.13% (+0.38)
0-3 @ 2.03% (+0.44)
Other @ 2.73% (+0.67)
Total : 27.74%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
Feb 22, 2026 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Municipal El Molinón
  • Juan Otero 7' goal
  • Gaspar Campos 46' yellowcard
  • Pablo García 67' yellowcard
  • Dani Queipo 72' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vázquez 80' goal
  • Andrés Ferrari 81' yellowcard
  • goal Stanko Juric 45'
  • goal Sergi Canós 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Víctor Meseguer 70'
  • yellowcard Stipe Biuk 76'
  • yellowcard Iván Garriel 85'
  • yellowcard Marcos André 85'
  • yellowcard Mathis Lachuer 85'
Segunda Division
Oct 19, 2025 3.15pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Segunda Division Gameweek 27
Feb 17, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal El Molinon
  • Uros Durdevic 15' yellowcard
  • Jose Angel 51' goal
  • Dani Queipo 62' yellowcard
  • Nacho Martin 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paulo Pezzolano 15'
  • goal Amath Ndiaye 27'
  • yellowcard Stanko Juric 49'
  • yellowcard Amath Ndiaye 60'
  • yellowcard Victor Meseguer 64'
Segunda Division Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
  • Cesar de la Hoz 16' yellowcard
  • Ivan Cedric Bikoue Embolo 20' goal
  • Babatunde Akinsola 28' yellowcard
  • Flavien Boyomo 36' yellowcard
  • Monchu 53' goal
  • Alberto Miguel Quintana Moreno 69' yellowcard
  • Ivan Cedric Bikoue Embolo 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Insua 1'
  • yellowcard Christian Rivera 12'
  • yellowcard Enol Coto Serrano 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Pablo Garcia Carrasco 66'
  • yellowcard Jose Angel 85'
Segunda Division Gameweek 25
Jan 28, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nacho 26' yellowcard
  • Roque Mesa 73' goal
  • Alvaro Aguado 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nacho Mendez 37'
Segunda Division Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2021 5.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marc Valiente 50' yellowcard
  • Uros Durdevic 74' goal
  • Fran Villalba 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Perez 11'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Fernandez 34'
  • goal Alvaro Aguado 37'
  • goal Gonzalo Plata 71'
  • yellowcard Lucas Olaza 83'
  • yellowcard Roque Mesa 87'