Segunda Division | Gameweek 42

May 30, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Nou Estadi Castalia

Castellon
4 - 1
Zaragoza

Sanchez (2', 16'), Moyita (33'), Calatrava Torrado (45+5')
Moyita (20'), van den Belt (29'), Camara (47')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Gomez (65' pen.)
Clemente (45+4')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Castellon and Real Zaragoza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Castellon

All competitions

Last Game: Granada 2-1 Castellon
Sunday, May 25 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Real Zaragoza

All competitions

Last Game: Zaragoza 1-0 Deportivo
Sunday, May 25 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.

Result
Castellon	Draw	Real Zaragoza
54.48% ( 1.29)	22.94% ( -0.08)	22.59% ( -1.21)

Both teams to score 55.68% (

-1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.71% (

-0.94)

44.29% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.33% (

-0.92)

66.67% (

0.92)

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.83% (

0.12)

16.17% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.37% (

0.21)

45.63% (

-0.21)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.42% (

-1.57)

33.58% (

1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.77% (

-1.76)

70.23% (

1.76)

Score Analysis

Castellon 54.48%

Real Zaragoza 22.59%

Draw 22.93%

Castellon	Draw	Real Zaragoza
1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.43% Total : 54.48%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.93%	0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.27% Total : 22.59%