Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.