Scottish Premiership Gameweek 12
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Fir Park

Motherwell vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 2.00pm
Motherwell 0 - 2 Hearts
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Alex Lowry

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
St Mirren 2 - 1 Dundee
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Killian Phillips

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motherwell win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for St Mirren has a probability of 31.56% and a draw has a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest St Mirren win is 1-2 (7.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.36%).

Result

Motherwell 43.83% ▼ (-3.03)
Draw 24.61% ▲ (+0.65)
St Mirren 31.56% ▲ (+2.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.2% ▼ (-0.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.47% ▼ (-0.94)
Under 1.5 20.53% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 2.5 57.11% ▼ (-1.53)
Under 2.5 42.89% ▲ (+1.53)
Over 3.5 33.84% ▼ (-1.64)
Under 3.5 66.16% ▲ (+1.65)
Over 4.5 19.72% ▼ (-1.43)
Under 4.5 80.28% ▲ (+1.44)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 36.68% ▲ (+0.39)
Draw 39.55% ▲ (+0.10)
St Mirren 23.77% ▼ (-0.49)

Team To Score First

Motherwell 52.9% ▼ (-2.26)
No Goal 5.5% ▲ (+0.41)
St Mirren 41.6% ▲ (+1.86)

Corners

Over 8 59.63% ▲ (+1.34)
Equal 8 11.42% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 8 28.94% ▼ (-1.40)
Over 9 47.81% ▲ (+1.14)
Equal 9 11.82% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 9 40.37% ▼ (-1.34)
Over 10.5 36.62% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 10.5 63.38% ▼ (-0.86)

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 45.98% ▼ (-3.12)
Under 1.5 54.02% ▲ (+3.12)
Over 2.5 21.15% ▼ (-2.74)
Under 2.5 78.85% ▲ (+2.73)
Over 3.5 7.89% ▼ (-1.50)
Under 3.5 92.11% ▲ (+1.49)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 68.2% ▲ (+1.74)
Under 0.5 31.8% ▼ (-1.74)
Over 1.5 35.78% ▲ (+1.54)
Under 1.5 64.22% ▼ (-1.55)
Over 2.5 14.33% ▲ (+0.99)
Under 2.5 85.67% ▼ (-0.99)
Over 3.5 4.68% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 3.5 95.32% ▼ (-0.34)

Score analysis

Motherwell 43.83%
Draw 24.61%
St Mirren 31.56%
Motherwell
2-1 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.16)
1-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.48)
3-0 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.44)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 7.65% ▼ (-1.50)
Total : 43.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% ▲ (+0.33)
2-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.41)
3-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 24.61%
St Mirren
1-2 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.44)
0-1 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.50)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.50)
1-3 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.34)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.27)
Other @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.33)
Total : 31.56%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2026 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 2
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Paul Nsio 39' goal
  • Declan John 44' goal
  • Samuel Ramos 45'+4' goal
  • Ryan Carr 85' yellowcard
  • Jake Young 89' yellowcard
  • goal Tawanda Maswanhise 2'
  • goal Regan Charles-Cook 24'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 47'
  • yellowcard Martin Moormann 52'
  • goal Jardell Kanga 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 21, 2026 7.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Mikael Mandron 46' yellowcard
  • K. Baccus 46' yellowcard
  • Marcus Fraser 46' yellowcard
  • Jalmaro Calvin 61' yellowcard
  • Liam Donnelly 78' yellowcard
  • goal Elijah Just 14'
  • yellowcard Tawanda Maswanhise 30'
  • goal Ibrahim Said 49'
  • goal Emmanuel Longelo 58'
  • yellowcard Eythor Bjørgolfsson 62'
  • yellowcard Tom Sparrow 62'
  • goal Eythor Bjørgolfsson 66'
  • yellowcard Luca Ross 77'
  • yellowcard Sam Nicholson 77'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Longelo 77'
  • yellowcard Regan Charles-Cook 77'
Scottish Premiership
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fir Park
  • Tawanda Maswanhise 35' goal
  • Elliot Watt 57' goal
  • Tom Sparrow 73' yellowcard
  • Oscar Priestman 73' yellowcard
  • Luca Ross 89' yellowcard
  • Detlef Esapa Osong 89' yellowcard
  • Zander McAllister 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evan Mooney 46'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 46'
  • yellowcard M. Dijksteel 66'
  • yellowcard Roland Idowu 67'
  • yellowcard Fraser Taylor 80'
Scottish League Cup
Nov 1, 2025 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm