Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
May 14, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fir Park
  • Luke Armstrong 77' goal
  • Callum Slattery 83' goal
  • Luke Armstrong 86' goal
  • redcard Robbie Deas 29'
  • yellowcard David Watson 80'

Motherwell vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 10, 2025 3.00pm
Hearts 3 - 0 Motherwell
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Callum Slattery

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
May 10, 2025 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 3 - 2 Dundee
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Bruce Anderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result

Motherwell 45.17% (-0.01)
Draw 25.66% (+0.01)
Kilmarnock 29.17%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.06% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.35% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 50.65% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 27.44% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 72.56% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 12.94% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.06% (+0.01)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 77.61%
Under 0.5 22.39% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 44.11% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.89% (+0.01)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 68.36% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 31.64% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.95%
Under 1.5 68.05% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Motherwell 45.17%
Draw 25.65%
Kilmarnock 29.17%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 10.6% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13%
2-0 @ 7.93%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 45.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.08% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.65%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 8.15%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.17%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 32
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 3 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Bradley Lyons 16' yellowcard
  • Bradley Lyons 16' yellowcard
  • Bradley Lyons 16' yellowcard
  • Fraser Murray 22' goal
  • Fraser Murray 22' goal
  • Fraser Murray 22' goal
  • Joe Wright 53' goal
  • Joe Wright 53' goal
  • Bobby Wales 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 12'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 12'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 12'
  • redcard Kofi Balmer 26'
  • redcard Kofi Balmer 26'
  • redcard Kofi Balmer 26'
  • yellowcard Dominic Thompson 63'
  • yellowcard Callum Slattery 71'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Jan 8, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Marley Watkins 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Halliday 38'
  • yellowcard Ewan Wilson 71'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 18
Dec 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Fir Park
  • Liam Gordon 17' goal
  • Harry Paton 56' yellowcard
  • Dan Casey 77' redcard
  • yellowcard David Watson 45'
  • goal Liam Polworth 74'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 78'
  • yellowcard J 85'
  • yellowcard Kyle Magennis 90'+3'
Scottish League Cup
Aug 18, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
ET Fir Park
  • Dan Casey 48' yellowcard
  • Moses Ebiye 96' goal
  • Tom Sparrow 105' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stuart Findlay 44'
  • redcard Stuart Findlay 51'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 87'
  • yellowcard Kieran O'Hara 90'+5'
  • yellowcard David Watson 95'
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 110'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 24
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Fir Park
  • Theo Bair 38' goal
  • Calum Butcher 80' yellowcard
  • Blair Spittal 85' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Mayo 13'
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 36'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 48'
  • yellowcard Greg Stewart 80'
  • yellowcard Stuart Findlay 85'
  • yellowcard Kevin van Veen 90'+5'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
  • David Watson 38' yellowcard
  • Innes Cameron 49' goal
  • Bradley Lyons 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Casey 32'