Scottish Premiership Gameweek 12
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Rugby Park

Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 28, 2026 7.45pm
Dundee 3 - 1 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Greg Kiltie

St Johnstone

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 28, 2026 7.45pm
St Johnstone 2 - 2 Motherwell
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Josh Fowler

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for St Johnstone has a probability of 36.35% and a draw has a probability of 25.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest St Johnstone win is 1-2 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.62%).

Result

Kilmarnock 38.48% ▲ (+1.80)
Draw 25.14% ▲ (+0.06)
St Johnstone 36.35% ▼ (-1.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.88% ▲ (+0.81)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.84% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 22.16% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 54.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.54% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 67.46% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 4.5 18.49% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 4.5 81.51% ▲ (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Kilmarnock 27.75% ▲ (+2.81)
Draw 41.36% ▲ (+1.02)
St Johnstone 30.89% ▼ (-3.83)

Team To Score First

Kilmarnock 45.14% ▲ (+4.42)
No Goal 5.9% ▼ (-0.12)
St Johnstone 48.96% ▼ (-4.29)

Corners

Over 8 65.21% ▲ (+5.89)
Equal 8 10.46% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 8 24.33% ▼ (-5.46)
Over 9 53.89% ▲ (+5.82)
Equal 9 11.31% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 9 34.79% ▼ (-5.89)
Over 10.5 42.68% ▲ (+5.28)
Under 10.5 57.32% ▼ (-5.28)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 1.5 40.47% ▲ (+1.29)
Under 1.5 59.53% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 2.5 17.66% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 2.5 82.34% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 3.5 6.24% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 3.5 93.76% ▼ (-0.36)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5 70.79% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 0.5 29.21% ▲ (+1.11)
Over 1.5 38.93% ▼ (-1.47)
Under 1.5 61.07% ▲ (+1.47)
Over 2.5 16.2% ▼ (-1.34)
Under 2.5 83.8% ▲ (+1.33)
Over 3.5 5.61% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 3.5 94.39% ▲ (+0.66)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 38.48%
Draw 25.13%
St Johnstone 36.35%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.45)
2-1 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.24)
2-0 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.19)
3-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.41)
Total : 38.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.15)
0-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 25.13%
St Johnstone
1-2 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.53)
1-3 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.53)
Other @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.63)
Total : 36.35%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Aug 2, 2026 2.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT McDiarmid Park
  • Josh Fowler 16' goal
  • C. Diabate 47' goal
  • Liam Smith 45'+4' yellowcard
  • C. Diabate 52' yellowcard
  • Michael Schjönning-Larsen 69' goal
  • Kai Fotheringham 80' goal
  • yellowcard Tyreece John-Jules 21'
  • goal Greg Kiltie 37'
  • goal Joe Hugill 49'
  • goal J. Holt 53' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jamie Brandon 82'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 35
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT McDiarmid Park
  • Uche Ikpeazu 26' yellowcard
  • Elliot Watt 66' yellowcard
  • goal David Watson 12'
  • goal Danny Armstrong 53'
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 74'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Liam Polworth 9' goal
  • Lewis Mayo 49' yellowcard
  • Fraser Murray 56' goal
  • Bobby Wales 60' goal
  • yellowcard Drey Wright 41'
  • goal Graham Carey 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 13
Nov 23, 2024 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT McDiarmid Park
  • Jason Holt 26' yellowcard
  • Mackenzie Kirk 53' goal
  • Andre Raymond 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Deas 17'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 47'
  • redcard Liam Donnelly 84'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2024 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Rugby Park
  • J 2' yellowcard
  • Joe Wright 16' redcard
  • Robbie Deas 47' yellowcard
  • Danny Armstrong 75' yellowcard
  • Matty Kennedy 83' yellowcard
  • goal Adama Sidibeh 3'
  • yellowcard Matthew Smith 29'
  • goal Adama Sidibeh 33'
  • yellowcard Cameron MacPherson 55'
  • yellowcard Lewis Neilson 69'
  • goal Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka 81'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka 82'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT McDiarmid Park
  • goal Joe Wright 23'
  • goal Joe Wright 23'
  • goal Marley Watkins 81'