Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2026 7.45pm
McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone vs Motherwell - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
Rangers 4 - 0 St Johnstone
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Josh Fowler

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 2.00pm
Motherwell 0 - 2 Hearts
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Alex Lowry

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Johnstone win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Motherwell has a probability of 27.78% and a draw has a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Motherwell win is 0-1 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.37%).

Result

St Johnstone 47.79% ▲ (+0.33)
Draw 24.46% ▲ (+0.06)
Motherwell 27.78% ▼ (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.6% ▼ (-0.45)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.54% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 1.5 24.46% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 2.5 52.34% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 2.5 47.66% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 3.5 29.88% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 3.5 70.12% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 4.5 17.27% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 4.5 82.73% ▲ (+0.27)

First Half Winner

St Johnstone 36.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 39.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Motherwell 24.06% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

St Johnstone 53.99% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 6.67% ▲ (+0.16)
Motherwell 39.34% ▼ (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 63.42% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.58%
Under 8 26% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 52.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.26%
Under 9 36.58% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 10.5 41.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 58.84% ▲ (+0.06)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 1.5 45.86% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 54.14% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 21.03% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 78.97% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 8.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 91.92% ▲ (+0.08)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 62.33% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 0.5 37.67% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 1.5 29.72% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 1.5 70.28% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 2.5 11.05% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 88.95% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 3.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.71% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

St Johnstone 47.79%
Draw 24.46%
Motherwell 27.78%
St Johnstone
1-0 @ 10.67% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 47.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.46%
Motherwell
0-1 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 27.78%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
ET
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 34
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Fir Park
  • Callum Slattery 39' goal
  • Sven Sprangler 40' goal
  • Tom Sparrow 48' goal
  • Callum Slattery 65' yellowcard
  • Stephen O'Donnell 66' yellowcard
  • Andy Halliday 68' yellowcard
  • Tom Sparrow 89' yellowcard
  • goal Mackenzie Kirk 6'
  • goal Elliot Watt 66'
  • yellowcard Uche Ikpeazu 84'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 24
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT McDiarmid Park
  • Max Kucheriavyi 22' yellowcard
  • Taylor Steven 87' goal
  • Bozo Mikulic 88' goal
  • goal Andy Halliday 4'
  • yellowcard Tom Sparrow 47'
  • yellowcard Dominic Thompson 61'
  • yellowcard Harry Paton 70'
  • yellowcard Luke Armstrong 90'+1'
Scottish Cup
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT McDiarmid Park
  • Mackenzie Kirk 9' goal
  • Victor Griffith 58' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shane Blaney 52'
  • yellowcard Tom Sparrow 63'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Fir Park
  • Tawanda Maswanhise 20' goal
  • Tom Sparrow 32' goal
  • Kofi Balmer 80' yellowcard
  • goal Nicky Clark 58'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT McDiarmid Park
  • Cameron MacPherson 51' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka 64' goal
  • Jack Sanders 67' yellowcard
  • Jack Sanders 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Dan Casey 11'
  • goal Moses Ebiye 90'+4'