Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.31%). The likeliest Spartans win was 1-2 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.