Scottish League One | Gameweek 33

Apr 12, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
4 - 0
Stenhousemuir

Stanton (45+1', 52'), Taylor (47'), Winter (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Reilly (25'), McGill (43'), Jamieson (90+2'), Meechan (90+3')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Arbroath and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Last Game: Montrose 0-1 Arbroath
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Stenhousemuir

All competitions

Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-4 Alloa
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Stenhousemuir
45.93% ( 0.01)	25.69% ( -0.01)	28.38% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.45% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78% (

0.02)

51.22% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.94% (

0.02)

73.06% (

-0.02)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.72% (

0.02)

22.28% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.27% (

0.02)

55.73% (

-0.02)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.48% (

0.01)

32.52% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.95% (

0.01)

69.05% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 45.92%

Stenhousemuir 28.38%

Draw 25.69%

Arbroath	Draw	Stenhousemuir
1-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.92%	1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.86% 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.38%