Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 47.2% ( | 24.91% ( | 27.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.74% ( | 48.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% ( | 70.4% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( | 20.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.04% ( | 52.96% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.65% ( | 31.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.29% | 67.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 3-0 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.2% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.88% |