World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
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-
Callum McCowatt
24'
-
Chris Wood
28'
-
Chris Wood
34'
-
Chris Wood
60'
-
Marko Stamenic
62'
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Francis De Vries
75'
-
Elijah Just
87'
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Ben Waine
90'+2'
Samoa vs New Zealand - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 83.71%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Samoa had a probability of 5.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 0-4 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for a Samoa win it was 2-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.
Result
Samoa
5.42%
▲
(+0.69)
Draw
10.87%
▲
(+1.25)
New Zealand
83.71%
▼
(-1.93)
Both Teams to Score:
46.63%
▼
(-1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
71.17%
▼
(-3.56)
Under 2.5
28.83%
▲
(+3.56)
Over 3.5
50.23%
▼
(-4.50)
Under 3.5
49.77%
▲
(+4.50)
Over 4.5
30.95%
▼
(-4.26)
Under 4.5
69.05%
▲
(+4.26)
Samoa Goals
Over 0.5
49.05%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 0.5
50.95%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 1.5
14.69%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 1.5
85.3%
▲
(+0.39)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5
95.06%
▼
(-0.93)
Under 0.5
4.94%
▲
(+0.93)
Over 1.5
80.21%
▼
(-2.89)
Under 1.5
19.79%
▲
(+2.89)
Score analysis
Samoa
5.42%
Draw
10.87%
New Zealand
83.7%
Samoa
2-1
@
1.72%
▲
(+0.20)
1-0 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.32)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 5.42%
1-0 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.32)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 5.42%
Draw
1-1
@
5.1%
▲
(+0.65)
2-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.50)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 10.87%
2-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.50)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 10.87%
New Zealand
0-3
@
11.41%
▲
(+0.22)
0-2 @ 11.38% ▲ (+0.95)
0-4 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.43)
1-3 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.52)
0-1 @ 7.57% ▲ (+1.07)
1-4 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.39)
0-5 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.63)
1-5 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.50)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.04)
0-6 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.52)
2-4 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.17)
1-6 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.39)
2-5 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.19)
0-7 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 83.7%
0-2 @ 11.38% ▲ (+0.95)
0-4 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.43)
1-3 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.52)
0-1 @ 7.57% ▲ (+1.07)
1-4 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.39)
0-5 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.63)
1-5 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.50)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.04)
0-6 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.52)
2-4 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.17)
1-6 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.39)
2-5 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.19)
0-7 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 83.7%