Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 56.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.