Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 7, 2026 1.30pm
Akhmat Arena

Akhmat Grozny vs Rodina Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 2.30pm
Dynamo Moscow 2 - 0 Akhmat Grozny
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Georgiy Melkadze

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 4.45pm
Rodina Moskva 2 - 1 Krasnodar
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Artem Maksimenko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw has a probability of 24.34% and a win for Rodina Moskva has a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Akhmat Grozny win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.2%) , while for a Rodina Moskva win it is 0-1 (6.49%).

Result

Akhmat Grozny 51.5%
Draw 24.34%
Rodina Moskva 24.15% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.6% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.27% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 23.73% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 53.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 46.89% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 30.7% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 69.3% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 4.5 17.75% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 82.25% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Akhmat Grozny 36.27% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 42.46% ▼ (-0.11)
Rodina Moskva 21.27% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Akhmat Grozny 55.24% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 6.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Rodina Moskva 38.22% ▲ (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 57.06% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 8 12.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 30.7% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 9 44.63% ▲ (+0.10)
Equal 9 12.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 42.94% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 10.5 33.15% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 66.85% ▼ (-0.08)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 1.5 49.33% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 50.67% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 23.95% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 76.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 9.36% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 90.64% ▼ (-0.07)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 59.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 27.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 72.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.23% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.44% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Akhmat Grozny 51.51%
Draw 24.35%
Rodina Moskva 24.15%
Akhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 10.71% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 51.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.35%
Rodina Moskva
0-1 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.39%
1-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 24.15%