Oct 23, 2026 5.30pm

Akhmat Arena

Akhmat Grozny vs Orenburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions

L
D
L
W
D
D

Russian Premier League

L
D
L
W
D
D

Last game

Oct 18, 2026 12.00pm

Zenit 3 - 2 Akhmat Grozny

Goals scored

15

Top scorer

Georgiy Melkadze

Orenburg

All competitions

D
W
D
L
D
D

Russian Premier League

D
W
D
L
D
D

Last game

Oct 19, 2026 5.30pm

Rodina Moskva 2 - 2 Orenburg

Goals scored

13

Top scorer

Gedeon Guzina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw has a probability of 26.43% and a win for Orenburg has a probability of 24.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Akhmat Grozny win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.1%) , while for a Orenburg win it is 0-1 (8.09%).

Result

Akhmat Grozny 48.75%

Draw 26.43%

Orenburg 24.82%

Both Teams to Score:

47.41%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.6% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 30.4% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 2.5 44.4%

Under 2.5 55.6%

Over 3.5 23.13%

Under 3.5 76.87%

Over 4.5 12.27%

Under 4.5 87.73%

First Half Winner

Akhmat Grozny 35.25%

Draw 44.76%

Orenburg 19.99%

Team To Score First

Akhmat Grozny 57.45%

No Goal 9.06%

Orenburg 33.49%

Corners

Over 8 51.5%

Equal 8 11.99%

Under 8 36.51%

Over 9 39.89%

Equal 9 11.61%

Under 9 48.5%

Over 10.5 29.55%

Under 10.5 70.45%

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 1.5 42.23% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 57.77% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 17.91% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 82.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 5.96%

Under 3.5 94.04%

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5 58.02%

Under 0.5 41.98%

Over 1.5 24.29%

Under 1.5 75.71%

Over 2.5 7.38%

Under 2.5 92.62%

Over 3.5 1.87%

Under 3.5 98.13%

Score analysis

Akhmat Grozny 48.76%

Draw 26.44%

Orenburg 24.82%

Akhmat Grozny

1-0 @ 13.27%

2-1 @ 9.22%

2-0 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 4.32%

3-2 @ 2.28%

Other @ 5.95%

Total : 48.76%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.1%

0-0 @ 9.06%

2-2 @ 4.56%

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 26.44%

Orenburg

0-1 @ 8.09%

1-2 @ 6.07%

0-2 @ 4%

1-3 @ 1.99%

2-3 @ 1.46%

0-3 @ 1.35%

Other @ 1.86%

Total : 24.82%

Head to Head

Dec 5, 2025 4.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Mohammadmehdi Zare Mohazabieh 68'
Egas Cacintura 71'

Danila Khotulev 64'
Maksim Savelyev 86'
Evgeny Bolotov 86'

Aug 22, 2025 4.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Dec 8, 2024 4.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Akhmat Arena

Aleksandr Zhirov 50'
Camilo 58'
Ismael Silva 78'
Semen Stolbov 90'+5'

Ivan Basic 38'
Vladimir Sliskovic 39'
Kazimcan Karatas 49'
Ismael Silva 86'

Jul 28, 2024 3.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Stadion Gazovik

Matias Perez 38'
Mohammad Ghorbani 60'

Svetoslav Kovachev 19'
Nader Ghandri 40'
Bernard Berisha 70'

Nov 26, 2023 9.00am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Stadion Gazovik

Cesar Florentin 32'
David Deogracia 33'
Matias Perez 36'
Vladimir Obukhov 45'+1'
Vladimir Obukhov 50'
Aleksey Kenyaykin 65'
Dmitriy Vorobyev 66'

Bernard Berisha 39'
Gamid Agalarov 52'
Gamid Agalarov 65'
Camilo 67'
Rizvan Utsiyev 77'
Evgeny Kharin 81'

Aug 20, 2023 6.00pm

4

0

HT : 3 0

FT Akhmat Arena

Artem Timofeev 9'
Bernard Berisha 24'
Vladimir Ilyin 35'
Vladimir Ilyin 59'
Camilo 87'

Renato Gojkovic 36'
Cesar Florentin 74'
Vladimir Obukhov 74'

Form Data

Zenit 3 - 2 Akhmat Grozny

Akhmat Grozny 0 - 0 Baltika

Akron 2 - 0 Akhmat Grozny

Akhmat Grozny 3 - 2 Makhachkala

Rubin Kazan 1 - 1 Akhmat Grozny

Akhmat Grozny 3 - 3 Krylia Sovetov

Rodina Moskva 2 - 2 Orenburg

Orenburg 4 - 0 Makhachkala

Orenburg 0 - 0 Krasnodar

Dynamo Moscow 1 - 0 Orenburg

Orenburg 2 - 2 Akron

Spartak Moscow 1 - 1 Orenburg