MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 20:13:50| >> :120:10318:10318:
[monks data]
Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 30, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
Martinez Valero
Real Madrid logo

Elche
1 - 1
Real Madrid

Fidel (52' pen.)
Gonzalo (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Modric (20')
Ramos (21'), Casemiro (60'), Carvajal (66'), Kroos (71')

Preview: Elche vs. Real Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Elche and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Real Madrid will be looking to make it six La Liga victories in a row when they continue their 2020-21 campaign away to Elche on Wednesday night.

Los Blancos have joined league leaders Atletico Madrid on 32 points courtesy of an impressive run of form, while Elche currently sit 16th in the table, having picked up 15 points from their 13 matches.


Match preview

Elche manager Jorge Almiron pictured while in charge of San Lorenzo in May 2019© Reuters

Elche have won three, drawn six and lost four of their 13 league matches this season, picking up 15 points to occupy 16th position, just one point clear of the relegation zone.

Los Franjiverdes, who secured a return to this level of football by coming through the 2019-20 Segunda Division playoffs, will enter Wednesday's clash off the back of a 2-2 draw with Osasuna on December 22.

Elche have not actually won in Spain's top flight since October 23, but they do have two games in hand on a number of teams around them and therefore their position in the table is far from disastrous.

Jorge Almiron's side are certainly capable of causing Madrid problems in this game, but they have only won one of their seven home La Liga matches this term and will be taking on a Los Blancos side that boast the best away record in the league, having picked up 17 points from their eight fixtures on their travels.

Real Madrid's Casemiro celebrates during the La Liga clash with Granada on December 23, 2020© Reuters

Madrid, as mentioned, have won each of their last five in La Liga during an excellent run, beating Sevilla, Atletico, Athletic Bilbao, Eibar and Granada since the end of November.

Zinedine Zidane's side are now second in Spain's top flight, level on points with leaders Atletico, although the team at the top of the division have two games in hand and are therefore in a very strong position.

Los Blancos have had their issues this season, dropping points in five of their 15 league matches, but they are now in a relatively strong position in the division and managed to book their spot in the knockout round of the Champions League courtesy of a 2-0 success over Borussia Monchengladbach on December 9.

Madrid, as mentioned, have the best away record in La Liga this season, while they are currently eight points clear of fifth-placed Barcelona, which is a healthy advantage over their bitter rivals at this stage.

Zidane's side have actually won their last six matches in all competitions and are now entering a run of fixtures in the league where they will expect to continue their impressive run.

Elche La Liga form: DDDLLD
Elche form (all competitions): DDLWLD

Real Madrid La Liga form: LWWWWW
Real Madrid form (all competitions): WWWWWW


Team News

Real Madrid's Eden Hazard scores against Inter Milan in the Champions League on November 25, 2020© Reuters

Elche could again be without the services of Omenuke Mfulu against Madrid, while Diego Gonzalez is an injury doubt, meaning that Dani Calvo could earn another start in a defensive area.

Almiron has options for change, with Victor Rodriguez, Pere Milla and Nino all available, but the manager is expected to keep faith with the majority of the XI that started against Osasuna.

Lucas Boye should again get the nod over Guido Carrillo in the centre-forward position, while Raul Guti could earn a spot in the middle of the park.

As for Madrid, Zidane's squad is in excellent shape at the moment, with only Rodrygo Goes, who has a hamstring problem, missing from Sunday's training session.

Eden Hazard made the bench against Granada and should again be included in the squad for this match, while Luka Modric is likely to return, having overcome the problem that kept him out of the team's last contest.

Vinicius Junior could be handed a start alongside Lucas Vazquez and Karim Benzema in the final third of the field, but the back four and goalkeeper are expected to be unchanged on Wednesday night.

Elche possible starting lineup:
Badia; Barragan, Verdu, Calvo, Josema; Guti, Marcone, Morente; Fidel, Boye, Josan

Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Carvajal, Varane, Ramos, Mendy; Modric, Casemiro, Kroos; Vazquez, Benzema, Vinicius


SM words green background

We say: Elche 0-2 Real Madrid

Elche have only lost four of their 13 league matches this term, but it is difficult to back against a Madrid win on Wednesday evening; Zidane's side appear to have overcome their early-season troubles, and we fancy the champions to pick up a relatively comfortable victory in this game.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



ID:428282:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8734:
Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.99%) and 0-3 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Elche vs Real Madrid

Elche
5.0%
Draw
9.4%
Real Madrid
85.6%
202
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Croatia and Real Madrid midfielder Luka Modric pictured in training for his national side on November 16, 2020
Read Next:
Luka Modric 'agrees new Real Madrid deal'
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Chiefs
@
Browns
6pm
Ravens
@
Giants
6pm
Jets
@
Jags
6pm
Cowboys
@
Panthers
6pm
Washington
@
Saints
6pm
Dolphins
@
Texans
6pm
Bengals
@
Titans
9.25pm
Colts
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Buccaneers
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Steelers
@
Eagles
9.25pm
Bills
@
Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Getafe173771114-316
16AlavesAlaves174491928-916
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!