MX23RW : Friday, April 26 05:08:39| >> :120:54239:54239:
[monks data]
Real Madrid logo
Champions League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
PSG logo

Real Madrid
3 - 1
PSG

Benzema (61', 76', 78')
Nacho (43'), Junior (44'), Carvajal (60'), Vazquez (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbappe (39')
Paredes (7'), Donnarumma (62'), Hakimi (81'), Kimpembe (83')

Preview: Real Madrid vs. Paris Saint-Germain - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Aiming to overturn a 1-0 deficit from the first leg at the Parc des Princes, Real Madrid play host to Paris Saint-Germain in the second leg of their Champions League last-16 tie at the Santiago Bernabeu on Wednesday night.

A Kylian Mbappe strike in the dying embers was all that could separate the two sides in Paris as both capital giants prepare for another clash of the titans here.


Match preview

Paris Saint-Germain's (PSG) Kylian Mbappe celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 15, 2022© Reuters

Facing his biggest admirers - who tried and failed to prise him away from the Parc des Princes with a nine-figure sum in the summer transfer window - Kylian Mbappe may not be warmly embraced by all in Madrid if his strike proves to be the one which ended Los Blancos' Champions League dreams.

Ahead of an anticipated free transfer to Carlo Ancelotti's side for the 2022-23 season, Mbappe weaved through a sea of white shirts and slotted home calmly past Thibaut Courtois - who had kept out Lionel Messi's penalty earlier on the night - to give PSG the upper hand in the behemoth of a tie.

Real Madrid's European pedigree is not up for debate, though, and Ancelotti's side have at least responded to that setback in ideal fashion by securing three La Liga wins on the bounce, including a 4-1 success over Real Sociedad on Saturday after going a goal down inside the opening 10 minutes.

However, recent history is not on the hosts' side this week, with Real Madrid being sent packing in the last-16 twice in the last three editions of the Champions League and only progressing from one of their last 10 knockout battles when losing the first leg.

Ancelotti's side are certainly welcoming PSG to the Bernabeu at a good time, with Los Blancos embarking on a 13-game unbeaten run on home soil since defeat to Sheriff Tiraspol back in September, and Les Parisiens' did not prepare for the second leg in ideal fashion.

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) coach Mauricio Pochettino on February 26, 2022© Reuters

As Nice manager Christophe Galtier bluntly put it during his post-match press conference, there is a PSG with Kylian Mbappe and a PSG without Kylian Mbappe, and the Aiglons coach's words did indeed ring true during their heavyweight clash at the weekend.

With the suspended Frenchman helplessly watching on from the sidelines, PSG fell to a second defeat from three Ligue 1 matches as Andy Delort came off the bench to net the only goal of the game in the 88th minute, with Mauricio Pochettino cutting a frustrated figure on the touchline.

It would still take a collapse of monumental proportions for PSG to lose their grip on the Ligue 1 title, but a few lowly performances on the road have done Pochettino no favours ahead of the second leg, with neither the Bernabeu pitch nor the Bernabeu faithful particularly welcoming.

PSG suffered three consecutive last-16 exits between 2017 and 2019 and won the first leg by at least two goals on two of those occasions, so Les Parisiens will be fully aware that the tie is not dead and buried just yet, especially with Pochettino failing to win any of his last four away games in the Champions League.

Furthermore, a wholly inconsistent PSG have only prevailed in four of their last 10 away matches in all competitions - two of which came against lower-league opposition in the Coupe de France - and Los Blancos are unbeaten in their last three homes games versus the French giants ahead of what promises to be a truly fascinating spectacle.

Real Madrid Champions League form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Real Madrid form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Paris Saint-Germain Champions League form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W

Paris Saint-Germain form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Paris Saint-Germain's (PSG) Leandro Paredes clashes with Real Madrid's Casemiro on February 15, 2022© Reuters

Real Madrid will be forced to work around suspensions for two of their key players this week, as Casemiro and Ferland Mendy picked up their third yellow cards of the tournament in the first leg and are banned for this one.

Mendy's suspension is hardly ideal with Marcelo restricted to indoor training on Monday - although he could still make himself available for the second leg - while Toni Kroos is in the squad after a hamstring injury.

On a brighter note, Federico Valverde has recovered from flu in time to take Casemiro's place in the middle, while Eduardo Camavinga ought to come up against familiar opposition if Kroos's injury does not allow him to feature from the off.

As for PSG, Pochettino would throw Mbappe straight back into the first XI as the Real Madrid-linked man returns from his domestic ban, but the attacker took a stomp to the foot from Idrissa Gueye in training and will need to be double-checked.

Ex-Real Madrid defender Sergio Ramos is set to miss out on a Bernabeu reunion due to his latest calf injury, but Achraf Hakimi and Leandro Paredes have made the squad.

Ander Herrera remains out, though, with the Spaniard developing an eye infection while he also attempts to battle his way back from a muscular problem, and there is also no space in the squad for Layvin Kurzawa.

Gianluigi Donnarumma can expect to return in goal for Keylor Navas this week, while Georginio Wijnaldum may drop out of the midfield after another uninspiring display at the Allianz Riviera.

Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Carvajal, Militao, Alaba, Marcelo; Camavinga, Valverde, Modric; Asensio, Benzema, Vinicius Jr

Paris Saint-Germain possible starting lineup:
Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Kimpembe, Mendes; Pereira, Gueye, Verratti; Messi, Mbappe, Neymar


SM words green background

We say: Real Madrid 3-1 Paris Saint-Germain

With Mbappe fresh and raring to go, PSG can certainly carve their way through an unfamiliar Real Madrid midfield, and attack may be the best form of defence for the visitors as they attempt to build on their slender advantage.

However, Ancelotti's men are enduring a golden spell at their headquarters while PSG are flattering to deceive on their travels, so we are backing the Benzema and Vinicius-inspired Blancos to turn the tie on its head and crush Les Parisiens' Champions League dreams for yet another year.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:480051:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect12599:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Real Madrid vs PSG

Real Madrid
56.2%
Draw
11.1%
Paris Saint-Germain
32.7%
756
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Karim Benzema celebrates scoring for Real Madrid in November 2021
Read Next:
Combined XI: Paris Saint-Germain vs. Real Madrid
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
10am
Bublik
Carballes Baena
10am
Marozsan
Cerundolo
10am
Musetti
Seyboth Wild
10am
Paul
Klein
10am
Rublev
Bagnis
10am
Andreeva
Noskova
10am
Bronzetti
Rybakina
10am
Garcia
Wang
10am
Pavlyuchenkova
Saville
11.30am
Altmaier
Fils
11.30am
Martin Etcheverry
Shapovalov
11.30am
Alexandrova
Krueger
11.30am
Bucsa
Kasatkina
11.30am
Dolehide
Kalinina
11.30am
Jimenez Kasintseva
Paolini
11.30am
Linette
Sabalenka
1pm
Baez
Van Assche
1pm
Hurkacz
Draper
1pm
Bejlek
Kalinskaya
1pm
Cristian
Krejcikova
1pm
Kostyuk
Sherif
2pm
Zheng
Putintseva
2.30pm
Humbert
Van De Zandschulp
2.30pm
Darderi
Fritz
2.30pm
Boulter
Montgomery
3pm
Shevchenko
Alcaraz
3.30pm
Vondrousova
Rogers
4pm
Griekspoor
Daniel
4pm
Munar
Struff
5pm
Navone
Rune
7pm
Coric
Zverev
8.30pm
Collins
Danilovic
11.30am
Shang
Davidovich Fokina
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
QBayern651016
QCopenhagen62228
3Galatasaray61235
4Man Utd61144

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
QArsenal641113
QPSV62319
3Lens62228
4Sevilla60242

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
QReal Madrid660018
QNapoli631210
3Braga61144
4Union Berlin60242

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
QReal Sociedad633012
QInter Milan633012
3Benfica61144
4Salzburg61144

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
QAtletico642014
QLazio631210
3Feyenoord62046
4Celtic61144

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
QDortmund632111
QPSG62228
3AC Milan62228
4Newcastle61235

Group G

TeamPWDLPTS
QMan City660018
QRB Leipzig640212
3Young Boys61144
4Red Star60151

Group H

TeamPWDLPTS
QBarcelona640212
QPorto640212
3Shakhtar63039
4Antwerp61053


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!