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Birmingham logo
Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
QPR logo

Birmingham
2 - 1
QPR

Pedersen (82'), Halilovic (85')
Pedersen (52'), Halilovic (86'), Roberts (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Austin (44')
Willock (13'), Bonne (73')

Preview: Birmingham City vs. Queens Park Rangers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Queens Park Rangers face Birmingham City at St Andrew's on Saturday afternoon having put together a five-match unbeaten streak in the Championship.

While the visitors now sit 11 points above the relegation zone, Blues are only two points above the bottom three after a sustained period of poor form under Aitor Karanka.


Match preview

Birmingham City manager Aitor Karanka pictured on January 10, 2021© Reuters

While speculation persists regarding his long-term future in the West Midlands, Karanka will not be judged on results against teams such as Norwich City.

Nevertheless, the 3-1 defeat against the league leaders has left Blues within one defeat of falling back into the relegation zone, heaping the pressure on the Spaniard.

Last weekend's success at Sheffield Wednesday could prove important in the grand scheme of things, but Karanka desperately needs to improve on a run of five points being collected from eight games.

The goals against the Owls and Canaries marked the first time that Birmingham have scored in successive matches since the turn of the year.

Although QPR have impressed of late, meetings with the Hoops and struggling Huddersfield Town give Blues every chance of maintaining their scoring run into March.

Preston North End's Ched Evans in action with Queens Park Rangers' Dominic Ball in the Championship on February 24, 2021© Reuters

There was a time in January when Mark Warburton would have feared a relegation battle after going nine second-tier fixtures without success.

However, QPR have responded with 19 points being collected from just eight matches, their only setback coming at home to Derby County.

The return of Charlie Austin has undoubtedly had its desired effect, but each member of a settled starting lineup deserves credit for the upturn in results.

Possessing two matches in hand on the teams in the playoffs, Warburton will not rule out the possibility of his side making up a nine-point deficit.

That said, it is still one match at a time for QPR, who must show that they are capable of performing with the added pressure which comes with an excellent set of results.

Birmingham City Championship form: DLLLWL

Queens Park Rangers Championship form: LWWWWD


Team News

Queens Park Rangers QPR manager Mark Warburton pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Despite only claiming a goalless draw at Deepdale, Warburton is expected to keep changes down to a minimum.

Macauley Bonne is in line to replace Lyndon Dykes in attack, with Sam Field also an option if the QPR manager wants fresher legs in midfield.

Karanka could hand a recall to Birmingham centre-back Marc Roberts, while Southampton loanee Yan Valery is also pushing for a starting role.

Playmaker Alen Halilovic may be brought back into the team, potentially as a replacement for midfielder Rekeem Harper.

Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Etheridge; Valery, Dean, Roberts, Pedersen; Gardner, Sunjic; Sanchez, Halilovic, Bela; Hogan

Queens Park Rangers possible starting lineup:
Dieng; Dickie, Cameron, Barbet; Kane, Ball, Johansen, Wallace; Chair; Austin, Bonne


SM words green background

We say: Birmingham City 1-1 Queens Park Rangers

Sitting well clear of safety, QPR will play with a sense of freedom against opponents who possess little confidence in the final third. However, the extra edge may suit Birmingham, and we feel that the home side will do enough to claim a share of the spoils.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 47.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester443041086394794
2Leeds UnitedLeeds44279880374390
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City441912136556969
8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Millwall441411194355-1253
17Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
18Queens Park RangersQPR441311204157-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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