Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.25% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.87%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%) , while for a Qatar win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.