Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.91%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.