Champions League
Jul 30, 2024 5.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Tofik Bakhramov
  • Juninho 17' goal
  • Juninho 31' goal
  • Juninho 44' goal
  • Yassine Benzia 66' goal
  • Leandro Andrade 73' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Casciaro 77'

Qarabag FK vs Lincoln Red Imps - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 23, 2024 5.00pm
Lincoln 0 - 2 Qarabag

Lincoln Red Imps

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 23, 2024 5.00pm
Lincoln 0 - 2 Qarabag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 20.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result

Qarabag FK 58.19% (-0.01)
Draw 21.69% (+0.01)
Lincoln Red Imps 20.11% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.21% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.15% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 41.84% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 35.75% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 64.24% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 18.83% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.16% (+0.01)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 85.89% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 14.1% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 58.27% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 41.73% (+0.01)

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5 65.44% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.55% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.73% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 71.27% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Qarabag FK 58.19%
Draw 21.69%
Lincoln Red Imps 20.11%
Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.55% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.35%
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.1% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45%
4-1 @ 3.18% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.99%
4-2 @ 1.69%
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.14%
2-2 @ 5.28%
0-0 @ 4.87% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.69%
Lincoln Red Imps
1-2 @ 5.39%
0-1 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 20.11%

Head to Head

Champions League
Jul 23, 2024 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Victoria Stadium, Wincham
  • Ethan Britto 72' yellowcard
  • Graeme Torilla 74' yellowcard
  • goal Juninho 45'+2'
  • goal Tural Bayramov 75'
Champions League
Jul 19, 2023 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
  • Abdellah Zoubir 7' goal
  • Bahlul Mustafazada 45'+1' goal
  • Redon Xhixha 49' goal
  • Marko Jankovic 62' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Sergeant 44'
  • yellowcard Kike Gomez 64'
Champions League
Jul 11, 2023 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Victoria Stadium
  • Kike Gomez 25' goal
  • goal Redon Xhixha 58'
  • goal Yassine Benzia 90'+4'