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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 1, 2021 at 8.05pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nice
PSG
0 - 0
Nice

Pereira (31'), di Maria (76')
FT

Kluivert (66'), Bard (88')

Preview: Paris Saint-Germain vs. Nice - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Runaway leaders Paris Saint-Germain welcome Nice to the Parc des Princes on Wednesday evening for midweek action in the 16th round of Ligue 1 fixtures.

The hosts bounced back from a disheartening loss in Europe with a win at the weekend, whilst their upcoming opponents slipped to a second consecutive home defeat.


Match preview

Lionel Messi celebrates scoring for Paris Saint-Germain in November 2021© Reuters

Rumours regarding his future and the vacant position at Manchester United have now quietened down slightly for PSG head coach Mauricio Pochettino, after the interim appointment of Ralf Rangnick at Old Trafford.

The long-term future of the Red Devils job will likely drag on - at least in the background - for the remainder of the season, but the Argentine was perhaps more able to focus on the job in hand when his side met Saint-Etienne on Sunday.

It now almost appears that it is in PSG's interests to allow their opponents to score first. Having gone in front at the Etihad Stadium on Wednesday, Les Parisiens eventually lost 2-1 to Manchester City, whilst in the league on Sunday they came from behind to win for the fifth time this season.

That is some stat considering there have just been 15 games to this point, and it was far from the only interesting stat the 3-1 victory produced - Lionel Messi completed a hat-trick of assists for just the third time in his career and Sergio Ramos finally made his long-awaited debut in dark blue, becoming the fifth oldest Ligue 1 debutant in the 21st century.

Pochettino will have been pleased with the performance of both his new signings - along with Marquinhos who grabbed an unlikely brace - but was surely disappointed to lose Neymar to an ankle injury late on, with the winger seen leaving the stadium on crutches.

Amine Gouiri pictured for Nice in August 2021© Reuters

Nice also conceded the first goal in their game against Metz, but were unable to produce a PSG-esque comeback, with Fabien Centonze's 31st-minute goal ultimately proving to be the winner.

That is just a second win of the season for Les Grenats, who started the weekend bottom of the table, and Christophe Galtier will be bitterly disappointed to have now lost back-to-back home games by a 1-0 scoreline.

The previous defeat came at the hands of Montpellier - in a more respectable mid-table position - and, despite a 2-1 win away at struggling Clermont in between those two games, Nice have now dropped behind Rennes to third in the table.

Even in that victory, Les Aiglons had to be rescued - not for the first time this season - by Amine Gouiri, who scored twice in the final quarter of an hour.

Whilst Galtier has clearly done an excellent job in his opening months on the riviera, there is still much work to be done before he is able to challenge for a title again.

Paris Saint-Germain Ligue 1 form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Paris Saint-Germain form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Nice Ligue 1 form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) attacker Neymar goes down injured in November 2021© Reuters

As mentioned, Neymar looks set for another spell on the sidelines - with initial estimates indicating something like an eight-week recovery time - thus putting an end to the long-awaited, short-lived MNM attacking trio for now.

The Brazilian joins the likes of Mauro Icardi, Ander Herrera, Julian Draxler, Georginio Wijnaldum and Marco Verratti in an increasingly busy treatment room.

Most of that list are nearing a return, however, and are scheduled to begin light training during this week.

Neymar's absence will likely see the system shuffled slightly, potentially with the front four switching to a front three consisting of Messi, Kylian Mbappe and Angel Di Maria.

PSG fans may have been made to wait for Ramos's debut, but he immediately staked his claim to a spot in central defence. Pochettino may choose to introduce him more gradually, though, and return him to the bench for this game.

Youcef Atal, Evann Guessand, and Robson Bambu all look set to miss out with injuries for the visitors and Pablo Rosario will also be sitting out.

Paris Saint-Germain possible starting lineup:
Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Diallo, Bernat; Gueye, Pereira, Paredes; Di Maria, Messi, Mbappe

Nice possible starting lineup:
Benitez; Lotomba, Todibo, Dante, Bard; Stengs, Lemina, Thuram, Gouiri; Delort, Dolberg


SM words green background

We say: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Nice

The hosts will miss Neymar but are potentially fortunate in their timing of meeting Nice, who have hit their first rough patch of form since Galtier took over. As we have learnt, it may be best for PSG to concede first but, either way, we back them to be ahead by the final whistle.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Nice had a probability of 15.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: PSG vs Nice

Paris Saint-Germain
88.7%
Draw
8.2%
Nice
3.0%
231
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Sergio Ramos pictured for Real Madrid on May 5, 2021
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG26178162233959
2Brest26138536201647
3MonacoMonaco26137647361146
4Lille261110537231443
5Nice2612772720743
6Lens2612683527842
7Marseille26109740281239
8Rennes2610974031939
9Reims26115103435-138
10Lyon26104123040-1034
11Toulouse2678112936-729
12StrasbourgStrasbourg2678112839-1129
13Le HavreLe Havre2669112633-727
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier2669113140-926
15Lorient2668123549-1426
16NantesNantes2674152441-1725
17Metz2665152339-1623
18Clermont2648141943-2420

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