Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Slaven Koprivnica had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Slaven Koprivnica win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.