Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 20, 2026 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio D. Afonso Henriques
  • Toni Borevković 90'+6' goal
  • goal Tiago Andrade 52'

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 8.30pm
Viseu 2 - 1 Guimaraes
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Samu

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 8.15pm
Moreirense 3 - 1 Maritimo
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Nile John

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.16% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%) , while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.17% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 23.16%
Moreirense 19.67% ▼ (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.21% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.82% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 25.18% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 51.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.87% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 71.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 17.42% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 82.58% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.86%
Draw 44.46%
Moreirense 12.69%

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 67.55%
No Goal 7.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Moreirense 25.36% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.58%
Equal 8 11.06%
Under 8 31.36%
Over 9 46.36%
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 42.42%
Over 10.5 35.87%
Under 10.5 64.13%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 51.59% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 48.41% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 26.21% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 73.79% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 10.7% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 89.3% ▼ (-0.05)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 53.25% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 46.75% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 21.64% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 78.36% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 2.5 7.32% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 92.68% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 2.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 97.93% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.16%
Draw 23.15%
Moreirense 19.67%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.3% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 10.19% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48%
Other @ 10.52% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 57.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8%
0-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.15%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 19.67%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Jan 30, 2026 8.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Samu 46' yellowcard
  • Alioune Ndoye 63' yellowcard
  • A. Ndoye 63' yellowcard
  • Samu 66' yellowcard
  • Fabio Blanco Gomez 69' yellowcard
  • Fabio Blanco 69' yellowcard
  • Matija Mitrovic 80' yellowcard
  • 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kiko Bondoso 58'
  • yellowcard Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso 58'
  • yellowcard Nile John 73'
  • yellowcard Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos 80'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • yellowcard Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 80'
  • yellowcard Leandro Santos 80'
  • yellowcard Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 81'
  • yellowcard Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos 81'
Primeira Liga
Aug 23, 2025 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Sidnei Tavares 14' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Schettine 31' goal
  • Godfried Frimpong 53' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Martins 77' goal
  • goal Telmo Arcanjo 37'
  • goal Telmo Arcanjo 51'
  • yellowcard Maga 53'
  • yellowcard Jesus Andres Ramirez 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Nelson Oliveira 65' goal
  • yellowcard Godfried Frimpong 64'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Joao Mendes 20' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Mangas 43' yellowcard
  • Manu Silva 53' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 68' goal
  • Tomas Ribeiro 70' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan 35'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ofori 73'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 5, 2023 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Alan 41' yellowcard
  • Andre Luis 76' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Handel 55'
  • yellowcard Tomas Ribeiro 75'