Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Guimaraes
Sep 20, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques
Moreirense

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 8.30pm
Viseu 2 - 1 Guimaraes
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Samu

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 8.15pm
Moreirense 3 - 1 Maritimo
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Nile John

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw has a probability of 23.38% and a win for Moreirense has a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.77%) , while for a Moreirense win it is 0-1 (5.91%).

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 56.14% ▲ (+0.76)
Draw 23.38% ▼ (-0.75)
Moreirense 20.48% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.08% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.28% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 1.5 24.72% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 2.5 51.71% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 2.5 48.29% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 3.5 29.81% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 3.5 70.19% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 4.5 18.07% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 4.5 81.93% ▼ (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 43.1% ▲ (+0.49)
Draw 44.07% ▼ (-0.68)
Moreirense 12.83% ▲ (+0.19)

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 67.03% ▼ (-0.94)
No Goal 6.96% ▼ (-0.30)
Moreirense 26.01% ▲ (+1.25)

Corners

Over 8 59.6% ▲ (+1.31)
Equal 8 11.06% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 8 29.35% ▼ (-1.54)
Over 9 48.2% ▲ (+0.96)
Equal 9 11.39% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 9 40.4% ▼ (-1.31)
Over 10.5 37.41% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 10.5 62.59% ▼ (-0.58)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 51.51% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 1.5 48.49% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 2.5 26.34% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 2.5 73.66% ▼ (-0.74)
Over 3.5 10.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 89.1% ▼ (-0.08)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 54.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 45.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 22.83% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 77.17% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 7.84% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 92.16% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.73% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 56.15%
Draw 23.39%
Moreirense 20.47%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.86% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.29)
3-2 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 10.66% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 56.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.77% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.30)
2-2 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.24% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 23.39%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 20.47%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Guimaraes
Jan 30, 2026 8.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Moreirense
  • Samu 46' yellowcard
  • Alioune Ndoye 63' yellowcard
  • A. Ndoye 63' yellowcard
  • Samu 66' yellowcard
  • Fabio Blanco Gomez 69' yellowcard
  • Fabio Blanco 69' yellowcard
  • Matija Mitrovic 80' yellowcard
  • 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kiko Bondoso 58'
  • yellowcard Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso 58'
  • yellowcard Nile John 73'
  • yellowcard Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos 80'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • yellowcard Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 80'
  • yellowcard Leandro Santos 80'
  • yellowcard Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 81'
  • yellowcard Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos 81'
Primeira Liga
Moreirense
Aug 23, 2025 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Moreirense
Mar 30, 2025 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Guimaraes
  • Sidnei Tavares 14' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Schettine 31' goal
  • Godfried Frimpong 53' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Martins 77' goal
  • goal Telmo Arcanjo 37'
  • goal Telmo Arcanjo 51'
  • yellowcard Maga 53'
  • yellowcard Jesus Andres Ramirez 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Guimaraes
Nov 3, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Moreirense
  • Nelson Oliveira 65' goal
  • yellowcard Godfried Frimpong 64'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Guimaraes
Mar 30, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Moreirense
  • Joao Mendes 20' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Mangas 43' yellowcard
  • Manu Silva 53' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 68' goal
  • Tomas Ribeiro 70' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan 35'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ofori 73'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Moreirense
Nov 5, 2023 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Guimaraes
  • Alan 41' yellowcard
  • Andre Luis 76' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Handel 55'
  • yellowcard Tomas Ribeiro 75'

Form Data

Viseu 2 - 1 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 0 - 0 Casa Pia
Braga 1 - 0 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 1 - 0 Nacional
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 2 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 0 - 1 Arouca
Moreirense 3 - 1 Maritimo
Moreirense 0 - 4 Benfica
Porto 2 - 1 Moreirense
Casa Pia 0 - 1 Moreirense
Arouca 4 - 0 Moreirense
Moreirense 2 - 2 Braga