Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2026 8.30pm
Estádio José Gomes

Estrela Amadora vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 3.30pm
Moreirense 2 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Leandro Antonetti 

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Nov 2, 2026 8.15pm
Benfica 1 - 0 Alverca
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw has a probability of 18.88% and a win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 12.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 0-2 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.26%) , while for a Estrela Amadora win it is 1-0 (3.76%).

Result

Estrela Amadora 12.41%
Draw 18.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Benfica 68.71% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.58%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.48% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 19.52% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 59.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 40.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 37.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 62.82% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 25.38% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 74.62% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Estrela Amadora 13.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 35.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Benfica 51.22% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Estrela Amadora 22.07%
No Goal 5.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Benfica 72.81% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 64.21%
Equal 8 10.38%
Under 8 25.41%
Over 9 53.09%
Equal 9 11.12%
Under 9 35.79%
Over 10.5 42.14%
Under 10.5 57.86%

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 1.5 17.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 82.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 4.86% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 95.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 98.87% ▼ (-0.01)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 88.12% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 11.88% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 64.62% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 35.38% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 38.59% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 61.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 19.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 80.69% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 12.41%
Draw 18.88%
Benfica 68.72%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 3.56%
2-0 @ 1.49%
3-2 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 12.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.24%
3-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.88%
Benfica
0-2 @ 11.33% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 10.65% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.41%
0-3 @ 8.61%
1-3 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 19.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 68.72%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Jan 25, 2026 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 42' goal
  • Leandro Barreiro 46' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 55' yellowcard
  • Sidny Lopes Cabral 58' goal
  • Sidny Cabral 58' goal
  • Andreas Schjelderup 60' yellowcard
  • Diogo Ferreira Prioste 73' yellowcard
  • Rafa Silva 73' yellowcard
  • Anisio Claudio Fernandes Reis Cabral 83' yellowcard
  • Anísio 83' yellowcard
  • Anisio Claudio Fernandes Reis Cabral 84' goal
  • Anísio 84' goal
  • yellowcard 56'
  • yellowcard Eddy Doué 56'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Mussolo Sola 65'
  • yellowcard Alex Sola 65'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Pinho 75'
  • yellowcard Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho 75'
  • yellowcard Alisson Souza de Jesus 75'
  • yellowcard Robinho 75'
  • yellowcard Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho 76'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Pinho 76'
  • yellowcard Alisson Souza de Jesus 76'
Primeira Liga
Aug 16, 2025 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 2, 2025 8.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Issiar Drame 10' goal
  • Rodrigo Pinho 16' yellowcard
  • Filipe Goncalo Pinto Martins 21' yellowcard
  • Diogo Martins Travassos 34' goal
  • Leonel Bucca 76' yellowcard
  • Diogo Martins Travassos 79' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Otamendi 6'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 28'
  • yellowcard Manu Silva 37'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 49'
  • yellowcard Fredrik Aursnes 90'+6'
Taca de Portugal
Nov 23, 2024 8.45pm
7
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Angel di Maria 2' goal
  • Angel di Maria 5' goal
  • Angel di Maria 18' goal
  • Kerem Akturkoglu 59' goal
  • Benjamin Rollheiser 74' yellowcard
  • Zeki Amdouni 81' goal
  • Arthur Cabral 86' goal
  • Arthur Cabral 90' goal
  • yellowcard Guilherme Montoia 41'
  • yellowcard Diogo Martins Travassos 63'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Orkun Kokcu 19' goal
  • Orkun Kokcu 34' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Fernandez 36' yellowcard
  • Tiago Gouveia 59' yellowcard
  • Renato Sanches 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andre Luiz 36'
  • yellowcard Caio dos Santos Santana 72'
  • yellowcard Leo Cordeiro 87'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2024 6.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
  • Leo Jaba 28' goal
  • Regis N'do 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Regis N'do 71' redcard
  • yellowcard Angel di Maria 41'
  • goal Arthur Cabral 44'
  • goal Rafa Silva 45'+1'
  • goal Nicolas Otamendi 52'
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 90'+3'