Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 3.30pm
Estoril 1 - 3 Moreirense
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Nile John

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.30pm
Estrela Amadora 0 - 2 Casa Pia
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Leandro Antonetti 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Moreirense has a probability of 31.46% and a draw has a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Moreirense win is 1-0 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.58%).

Result

Moreirense 31.46% ▼ (-0.27)
Draw 26.74% ▲ (+0.18)
Estrela Amadora 41.8% ▲ (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.74% ▼ (-0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.56% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 27.44% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 2.5 47.82% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 2.5 52.18% ▲ (+0.55)
Over 3.5 25.15% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 3.5 74.85% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 4.5 13.3% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 4.5 86.7% ▲ (+0.35)

First Half Winner

Moreirense 20.89% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 45.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Estrela Amadora 33.98% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Moreirense 38.74% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 8.09% ▲ (+0.18)
Estrela Amadora 53.17% ▼ (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 48.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.26%
Under 8 39.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 9 36.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.57%
Under 9 51.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 26.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 73.53% ▼ (-0.02)

Moreirense Goals

Over 1.5 30.96% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 1.5 69.04% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 2.5 10.96% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 2.5 89.04% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 2.97% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 97.03% ▲ (+0.19)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 72.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 27.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 39.3% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 60.7% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 16.1% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 83.9% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 5.31% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 94.69% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Moreirense 31.46%
Draw 26.74%
Estrela Amadora 41.8%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 31.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 26.74%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 10.46% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.03% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 41.8%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 2, 2026 3.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Alan de Souza Guimarães 45'+1' goal
  • Alan de Souza Guimarães 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Nile John 46' yellowcard
  • Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 46' yellowcard
  • Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues 68' yellowcard
  • Luís Semedo 68' yellowcard
  • Luís Semedo 73' goal
  • Leandro Santos 76' yellowcard
  • Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Jovane Cabral 13'
  • yellowcard Ianis Stoica 36'
  • yellowcard Sydney van Hooijdonk 64'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Encada 70'
  • yellowcard Kevin Höög Jansson 70'
  • yellowcard Jorge Meireles 81'
  • yellowcard Tom Moustier 81'
  • yellowcard Tom Moustier 82'
Primeira Liga
Dec 20, 2025 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sidny Lopes Cabral 35' yellowcard
  • Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira 67' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dinis Pinto 33'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Cedric Teguia 62' yellowcard
  • Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 67' yellowcard
  • Sidnei Tavares 78' goal
  • yellowcard Diogo Martins Travassos 36'
  • yellowcard Kikas 41'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 45'
  • goal Kikas 55'
  • yellowcard Gerson Liliano Saches Sousa 86'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Leonel Bucca 2' goal
  • Kikas 20' goal
  • Leonel Bucca 46' yellowcard
  • Till Cissokho 57' yellowcard
  • Nilton Varela 57' yellowcard
  • redcard Cesar Peixoto 47'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Silva 69'
  • yellowcard Luis Nlavo 73'
  • goal Ruben Ramos 83'
  • yellowcard Pedro Miguel Costa Santos 86'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Andre Castro 26' goal
  • Bruno Brigido 43' goal
  • Vinicius Mingotti 70' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Franco 79' yellowcard
  • Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mansur 41'
  • yellowcard Sergio Vieira 42'
  • yellowcard Kialonda Gaspar 44'
  • goal Andre Luiz 54'
  • goal Kikas 83'
  • redcard Mansur 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
  • Sergio Vieira 12' redcard
  • Leo Cordeiro 40' yellowcard
  • Joao Reis 56' yellowcard
  • Kialonda Gaspar 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Madson 11'
  • yellowcard Andre Luis 51'
  • yellowcard Alan 54'
  • yellowcard Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 62'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 76'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ofori 81'
  • goal Andre Luis 90'
  • redcard Wallisson 90'+2'