Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 9, 2026 6.45pm
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense vs Gil Vicente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 3.30pm
Guimaraes 1 - 1 Moreirense
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Nile John

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.30pm
Gil Vicente 1 - 1 Maritimo
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Héctor Hernández

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Moreirense has a probability of 33.67% and a draw has a probability of 27.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Moreirense win is 1-0 (9.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.78%).

Result

Moreirense 33.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 27.14% ▲ (+0.06)
Gil Vicente 39.19% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.12% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 27.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 47.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 52.92% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 25.1% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 74.89% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 13.37% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 86.63% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Moreirense 23.55% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 46.39% ▲ (+0.11)
Gil Vicente 30.06% ▼ (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Moreirense 42.08% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 8.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Gil Vicente 49.58% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.95% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 8 35.86% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 9 40.56% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.64% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 47.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 30.15% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 69.85% ▲ (+0.08)

Moreirense Goals

Over 1.5 32.53% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 67.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5 70.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 36.83% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 63.17% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 14.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.23% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Moreirense 33.67%
Draw 27.14%
Gil Vicente 39.19%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 33.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.12%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 27.14%
Gil Vicente
0-1 @ 10.37% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 6.53%
1-3 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 39.19%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 1.00am
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2026 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues 46' yellowcard
  • Luís Semedo 60' yellowcard
  • Travassos 67' goal
  • Nile John 74' yellowcard
  • Kevyn Monteiro 74' yellowcard
  • Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Murilo de Souza Costa 43'
  • yellowcard Joelson Fernandes 55'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela 55'
  • yellowcard Zé Carlos 66'
  • yellowcard Héctor Hernández 75'
  • yellowcard Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales 75'
  • goal Héctor Hernández 88'
Primeira Liga
Aug 29, 2025 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
  • Sandro Cruz 31' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Aboubakar Bamba 53' yellowcard
  • Joao Marques 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dinis Pinto 17'
  • goal Godfried Frimpong 48'
  • yellowcard Alan 69'
  • yellowcard Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Gilberto Dambi Batista 90'+5'
Taca de Portugal
Jan 12, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
  • Sandro Cruz 43' yellowcard
  • Felix Correia 70' goal
  • Facundo Caseres 79' yellowcard
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2024 8.15pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Guilherme Schettine 35' yellowcard
  • Dinis Pinto 45' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Schettine 65' goal
  • Dinis Pinto 70' goal
  • Luis Nlavo 87' goal
  • goal Tidjany Toure 25'
  • yellowcard Mory Gbane 41'
  • goal Jorge Aguirre de Cespedes 47'
  • yellowcard Santiago Garcia Gonzalez 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi 51'
  • yellowcard Caue 64'
  • yellowcard Tidjany Toure 82'