Premier League Gameweek 36
Newcastle
May 11, 2025 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
Chelsea
  • Sandro Tonali 2' goal
  • Fabian Schar 53' yellowcard
  • Jacob Murphy 64' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 84' yellowcard
  • Emil Krafth 89' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 90' goal
  • redcard Nicolas Jackson 35'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 90'+3'

Newcastle United vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News
News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 2.00pm
Brighton 1 - 1 Newcastle
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 4.30pm
Chelsea 3 - 1 Liverpool
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 37.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 39.22% ▲ (+0.91)
Draw 23.18% ▲ (+0.31)
Chelsea 37.59% ▼ (-1.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.62% ▼ (-1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.22% ▼ (-1.61)
Under 2.5 36.78% ▲ (+1.61)
Over 3.5 41.05% ▼ (-1.77)
Under 3.5 58.95% ▲ (+1.77)
Over 4.5 22.99% ▼ (-1.47)
Under 4.5 77.01% ▲ (+1.46)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 80.76% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 0.5 19.23% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 1.5 49.06% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 1.5 50.94% ▲ (+0.48)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 80.01% ▼ (-1.26)
Under 0.5 19.98% ▲ (+1.26)
Over 1.5 47.83% ▼ (-2.07)
Under 1.5 52.16% ▲ (+2.07)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 39.22%
Draw 23.18%
Chelsea 37.59%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.19)
1-0 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.44)
2-0 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.32)
3-1 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.15)
4-1 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 39.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% ▲ (+0.32)
2-2 @ 6.77% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.30)
3-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.18%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.22)
2-3 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.22)
0-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.17)
2-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.15)
0-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 37.59%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Newcastle
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. James' Park
Chelsea
  • Fabian Schar 16' yellowcard
  • Sean Longstaff 19' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 23' goal
  • Axel Disasi 26' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 52' yellowcard
  • Nick Pope 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benoit Badiashile 29'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 85'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Chelsea
Oct 27, 2024 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Newcastle
  • Cole Palmer 4' goal
  • Wesley Fofana 11' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Jackson 18' goal
  • Cole Palmer 47' goal
  • Romeo Lavia 54' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 66' yellowcard
  • Robert Sanchez 84' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 88' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Enzo Maresca 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 22'
  • goal Alexander Isak 32'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 64'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 90'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Chelsea
Mar 11, 2024 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Newcastle
  • Nicolas Jackson 6' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 39' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 57' goal
  • Djordje Petrovic 71' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 72' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 76' goal
  • goal Alexander Isak 43'
  • goal Jacob Murphy 90'
  • yellowcard Joe White 90'+6'
EFL Cup
Chelsea
Dec 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kingsmeadow
Newcastle
  • Moises Caicedo 2' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 71' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 90'+2' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Wilson 16'
  • yellowcard Callum Wilson 87'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Newcastle
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 2
FT St. James' Park
Chelsea
  • Alexander Isak 13' goal
  • Alexander Isak 13' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 22' yellowcard
  • Kieran Trippier 22' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 46' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 60' goal
  • Joelinton 61' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 83' goal
  • Matt Ritchie 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Raheem Sterling 23'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 23'
  • yellowcard Lesley Ugochukwu 41'
  • yellowcard Reece James 55'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 59'
  • redcard Reece James 73'
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 77'
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 81'
Club Friendlies 1
Newcastle
Jul 27, 2023 1.15am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chelsea
  • Miguel Almiron 45' goal
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 12'

Form Data

Brighton 1 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 3 - 0 Ipswich
Aston Villa 4 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 5 - 0 Crystal Palace
Newcastle 4 - 1 Man Utd
Leicester 0 - 3 Newcastle
Chelsea 1 - 0 Djurgarden
Chelsea 3 - 1 Liverpool
Djurgarden 1 - 4 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 0 Everton
Fulham 1 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 2 Legia

Build-up

Predicted Lineups
News