Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.24%) and 1-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.