Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 66.17%. A win for Birmingham City U21 had a probability of 16.95% and a draw had a probability of 16.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.15%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Birmingham City U21 win was 2-1 (4.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.