Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Birmingham City U21 had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.97%) and 1-3 (5.53%). The likeliest Birmingham City U21 win was 2-1 (6.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.