Premier League 2 - Div 1 Gameweek 11
Jan 16, 2026 7.00pm
Pride Park Stadium

Derby County Under-21s vs Aston Villa Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Jan 9, 2026 7.00pm
Derby U21s 0 - 0 Sunderland U21s
Goals scored
13

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Jan 9, 2026 7.00pm
Brighton U21s 0 - 0 Aston Villa U21s
Goals scored
15

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County Under-21s win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s has a probability of 32.04% and a draw has a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-21s win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.11%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win is 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.08%).

Result

Derby County Under-21s 46.76%
Draw 21.2%
Aston Villa Under-21s 32.04%

Both Teams to Score: 

63.77%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.73%
Under 1.5 15.27%
Over 2.5 66.01%
Under 2.5 33.99%
Over 3.5 44.63%
Under 3.5 55.37%
Over 4.5 29.18%
Under 4.5 70.82%

First Half Winner

Derby County Under-21s 37.53%
Draw 33.1%
Aston Villa Under-21s 29.37%

Team To Score First

Derby County Under-21s 47.77%
No Goal 3.7%
Aston Villa Under-21s 48.53%

Corners

Over 8 57.8%
Equal 8 11.25%
Under 8 30.95%
Over 9 46.34%
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 42.2%
Over 10.5 35.61%
Under 10.5 64.39%

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 1.5 52.48%
Under 1.5 47.52%
Over 2.5 28.54%
Under 2.5 71.46%
Over 3.5 13.28%
Under 3.5 86.72%

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 67.46%
Under 0.5 32.54%
Over 1.5 38.97%
Under 1.5 61.03%
Over 2.5 18.19%
Under 2.5 81.81%
Over 3.5 6.84%
Under 3.5 93.16%

Score analysis

Derby County Under-21s 46.75%
Draw 21.2%
Aston Villa Under-21s 32.04%
Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.51%
1-0 @ 6.11%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 5.45%
3-2 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.87%
Other @ 12.98%
Total : 46.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.08%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 3.7%
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.2%
Aston Villa Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-1 @ 5.45%
1-3 @ 3.85%
0-2 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 3.42%
0-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 6.54%
Total : 32.04%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 1
Aug 16, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
  • Ben Broggio 10' goal
  • Ben Broggio 13' goal
  • Rory Wilson 53' yellowcard
  • Travis Patterson 76' yellowcard
  • Kerr Smith 76' yellowcard
  • Rico Richards 85' goal
  • yellowcard Darren Robinson 51'
  • yellowcard Alex Stepien-Iwumene 51'
  • goal Emmanuel Ilesanmi 87'
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 1, 2023 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Bodymoor Heath Training Ground
  • Ben Broggio 4' goal
  • Kobei Moore 7' goal
  • Rico Richards 20' goal
  • Finley Munroe 40' yellowcard
  • Finley Munroe 57' redcard
  • Teddy Rowe 60' yellowcard
  • Kerr Smith 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Gibson-Hammond 10'
  • goal Dajaune Brown 32'
  • yellowcard Bradley Johnson 36'
  • yellowcard Henry Jeffcott 67'
  • yellowcard J. C. Lindsay 88'
  • yellowcard Jason Lindsay 88'
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Apr 14, 2023 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bodymoor Heath Training Ground
  • Chisom Afoka 52' goal
  • Josh Feeney 65' goal
  • Chisom Afoka 69' goal
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 29, 2022 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Chisom Afoka 11'
  • goal Declan Firth 63'