Premier League 2 - Div 1 Gameweek 11
Jan 16, 2026 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Justin Oguntolu 13' yellowcard
  • 59' yellowcard
  • Harry Hawkins 59' yellowcard
  • Jaydan Davidson 60' yellowcard
  • Jayden Davidson 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 59'
  • yellowcard Cole Brannigan 59'
  • yellowcard Markie Meade 66'
  • yellowcard Calum Moreland 85'
  • yellowcard Calum Francis Moreland 85'

Derby County Under-21s vs Aston Villa Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Jan 9, 2026 7.00pm
Derby U21s 0 - 0 Sunderland U21s
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Justin Oguntolu

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Jan 9, 2026 7.00pm
Brighton U21s 0 - 0 Aston Villa U21s
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Kadan Young

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-21s win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.11%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Derby County Under-21s 46.76%
Draw 21.2%
Aston Villa Under-21s 32.04%

Both Teams to Score: 

63.77%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.73%
Under 1.5 15.27%
Over 2.5 66.01%
Under 2.5 33.99%
Over 3.5 44.63%
Under 3.5 55.37%
Over 4.5 29.18%
Under 4.5 70.82%

First Half Winner

Derby County Under-21s 37.53%
Draw 33.1%
Aston Villa Under-21s 29.37%

Team To Score First

Derby County Under-21s 47.77%
No Goal 3.7%
Aston Villa Under-21s 48.53%

Corners

Over 8 57.8%
Equal 8 11.25%
Under 8 30.95%
Over 9 46.34%
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 42.2%
Over 10.5 35.61%
Under 10.5 64.39%

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 1.5 52.48%
Under 1.5 47.52%
Over 2.5 28.54%
Under 2.5 71.46%
Over 3.5 13.28%
Under 3.5 86.72%

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 67.46%
Under 0.5 32.54%
Over 1.5 38.97%
Under 1.5 61.03%
Over 2.5 18.19%
Under 2.5 81.81%
Over 3.5 6.84%
Under 3.5 93.16%

Score analysis

Derby County Under-21s 46.75%
Draw 21.2%
Aston Villa Under-21s 32.04%
Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.51%
1-0 @ 6.11%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 5.45%
3-2 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.87%
Other @ 12.98%
Total : 46.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.08%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 3.7%
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.2%
Aston Villa Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-1 @ 5.45%
1-3 @ 3.85%
0-2 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 3.42%
0-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 6.54%
Total : 32.04%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 1
Aug 16, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
  • Ben Broggio 10' goal
  • Ben Broggio 13' goal
  • Rory Wilson 53' yellowcard
  • Travis Patterson 76' yellowcard
  • Kerr Smith 76' yellowcard
  • Rico Richards 85' goal
  • yellowcard Darren Robinson 51'
  • yellowcard Alex Stepien-Iwumene 51'
  • goal Emmanuel Ilesanmi 87'
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 1, 2023 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Bodymoor Heath Training Ground
  • Ben Broggio 4' goal
  • Kobei Moore 7' goal
  • Rico Richards 20' goal
  • Finley Munroe 40' yellowcard
  • Finley Munroe 57' redcard
  • Teddy Rowe 60' yellowcard
  • Kerr Smith 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Gibson-Hammond 10'
  • goal Dajaune Brown 32'
  • yellowcard Bradley Johnson 36'
  • yellowcard Henry Jeffcott 67'
  • yellowcard J. C. Lindsay 88'
  • yellowcard Jason Lindsay 88'
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Apr 14, 2023 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bodymoor Heath Training Ground
  • Chisom Afoka 52' goal
  • Josh Feeney 65' goal
  • Chisom Afoka 69' goal
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 29, 2022 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Chisom Afoka 11'
  • goal Declan Firth 63'