Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-21s win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.11%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.