Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 60.43%. A win for Birmingham City U21 had a probability of 20.86% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (7.12%). The likeliest Birmingham City U21 win was 1-2 (5.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.