Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 3-1 (5.92%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.