Premier League 2 - Div 1 Gameweek 17
Mar 2, 2026 6.00pm
Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough Under-21s vs Birmingham City U21 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 1.00pm
Saints U21s 2 - 1 Boro U21s
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Cruz Ibeh

Birmingham City U21

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 4.00pm
Brighton U21s 3 - 2 Birmingham City U21
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Louie Rea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 64.51%. A win for Birmingham City U21 has a probability of 17.84% and a draw has a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (6.97%) and 3-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Birmingham City U21 win is 1-2 (5.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.22%).

Result

Middlesbrough Under-21s 64.51% (-0.06)
Draw 17.65% (+0.02)
Birmingham City U21 17.84% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.79% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 89.19% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 10.81% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 73.16% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 26.84% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 51.09% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 48.91% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 37.24% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 62.76% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough Under-21s 48.53%
Draw 30.7%
Birmingham City U21 20.77%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough Under-21s 63.52% (+0.03)
No Goal 2.46% (-0.02)
Birmingham City U21 34.02% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 69.3% (-0.05)
Equal 8 9.32% (-0.01)
Under 8 21.39% (+0.07)
Over 9 58.91% (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.38% (-0.02)
Under 9 30.7% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 48.24% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 51.77% (+0.03)

Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals

Over 1.5 68.74% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 31.26% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 45.17% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 54.83% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 24.84% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 75.16% (-0.16)

Birmingham City U21 Goals

Over 0.5 53.79% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 46.21% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 27.98% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.02% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.8% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 89.2% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 3.56%
Under 3.5 96.44%

Score analysis

Middlesbrough Under-21s 64.5%
Draw 17.65%
Birmingham City U21 17.84%
Middlesbrough Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 6.5% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.72% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.79% (-0.09)
Other @ 24.55% (+0.15)
Total : 64.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.22% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.46% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.35% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.02)
Total : 17.65%
Birmingham City U21
1-2 @ 5.22% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 2.62% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.83% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.07% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.27% (-0.03)
Total : 17.84%